Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2001

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 18, NWS Missoula, MT

July 15, 2001Missoula County, Montana

NWS Missoula, MT issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 15, 2001, 4:20 PM MDT for Missoula County, Montana. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 2001, 4:20 PM MDT (22:20 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 2001, 4:50 PM MDT
In force
30 min
Issued by
NWS Missoula, MT
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Missoula County, MT

The nearest sounding before it

Spokane, WA (KOTX), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 215 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Spokane, WA at 12:00Z on 2001-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Spokane, WA at 12:00Z on 2001-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 23 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2345 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
39 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS55 KMSO 152220
SVRMSO

MTC063-152250-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
420 PM MDT SUN JUL 15 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MISSOULA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN MISSOULA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MONTANA

* UNTIL 450 PM MDT

* AT 420 PM MDT...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF SEELEY LAKE...OR 22 MILES NORTHEAST OF MISSOULA...
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  OVER SEELEY LAKE AT 435 PM MDT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL...ALONG WITH
FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...GO IND]OORS
AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...MOVE TO A
WELL PROTECTED AREA.


LAT...LON 4718 11385 4698 11360 4710 11337 4732 11360

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Missoula, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 15, 1:54 PM MDT, 2 hours 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 1:54 PM MDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
WESTERN MONTANA AND NORTH CENTRAL IDAHO FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
154 PM MDT SUN JUL 15 2001

.SHORT TERM...MODELS CONSISTENT IN DROPPING AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG
UPPER TROUGH INTO WA STATE MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT
COOLING TO THE AREA ON MONDAY. AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROF A STRONG
VORT OVER CENTRAL ID WILL TRACK NE IN SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT INTO
SW MT LATER THIS AFTERNOON. AT THE PRESENT TIME AN AREA OF STRONGER
CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING JUST AHEAD OF VORT CENTER IN A DRY SLOT IN
SOUTHEAST IDAHO AND WESTERN LEMHI COUNTIES. OTHER ISOLATED CONVECTION
IS POPPING UP IN SRN HALF OF CWA. LIGHT SHOWERS CONTINUE ALONG
DEFORMATION AXIS INTO NW MT. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
WITH AFTERNOON HEATING AND SPREAD NE. WITH PRECIP. WATER VALUES OF
GREATER THAN 0.75...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE. STORMS ARE MOVING
FAST ENOUGH THAT SIGNIFICANT PROBLEMS ARE NOT LIKELY. BUT WILL
MONITOR PRECIP TOTAL IN BURN AREAS CLOSELY. CONVECTION WILL DIMINISH
THIS EVENING AS VORT TRACKS NE OF AREA.

ON MONDAY MORNING A DEVELOPING FRONTAL ZONE WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST
THROUGH CWA FORCING SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AS LI
VALUES REMAIN AROUND 0 TO -1 AS 700 MB COOL TO -2 TO +2 CELCIUS. NGM
MOS IS MUCH WARMER ON THE HIGH TEMPS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY THAN THE
MAV MOS. NGM TEMPS ARE CLOSE TO ADIABATIC VALUES...BUT WITH CLOUD
COVER AND SHOWERS WILL TREND BETWEEN THE MOS VALUES...SO MAINLY 60S
NORTH AND 70S SOUTH. TEMPS WILL COOL A LITTLE MORE ON TUESDAY AS
UPPER LOW EDGES SLOWLY EAST. AVN AND MESOETA WRAP A VORT LOBE AROUND
UPPER LOW AS JET STREAK ROUNDS BASE OF TROUGH. DRY MID LEVEL AIR
ADVECTS INTO MOST OF CWA...EXCEPT OVER FAR NW AND SE WHERE WILL
CONTINUE THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PETRESCU

.EXTENDED...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH MOVING A TROUGH ACROSS THE
AREA ON WEDNESDAY...COOLING TEMPERATURES AND GIVING THE BEST CHANCE
OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS. THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY A LOW DEVELOPS
AND STAYS OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST...KEEPING THE CWA IN A
SOUTHWEST FLOW WITH A FEW WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH...SO
WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. BY SUNDAY A WEAK RIDGE BUILDS
OVER THE CWA SO WILL GO DRY AND WARMER. KOLATA

.MSO...NONE.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Missoula, MT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 3:31 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningMSORavalli2 hr
Jul 15, 4:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOGranite44 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Montana, 2001Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2001

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.