Tornado Warning 50, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
300 PM CST MON NOV 26 2001

A RATHER COMPLEX WEATHER SCENARIO CONTINUES TO UNFOLD. SEVERE WEATHER
TONIGHT WILL MOVE OUT AND MAKE WAY FOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTRY WEATHER
EPISODE BEGINING AS EARLY AS TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH
MOST OF WEDNESDAY. 8H TEMPS AND THICKNESS VALUES INDICATE SNOW OVER
MOST SECTIONS.

FCSTID = 38

.LZK...NONE.

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-262300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1142 AM CST MON NOV 26 2001

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND POSSIBLE TORNADOS EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF ARKANSAS...

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST HALF OF ARKANSAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THIS
EVENING. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OR ARKANSAS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE FAR NORTHWEST.

CURRENTLY...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS CENTERED OVER SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA WITH A COLD FRONT TRAILING ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND
TEXAS. A WARM FRONT HAS MOVED INTO ARKANSAS LATE THIS MORNING. AS
THE WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
RAPIDLY DESTABILIZE WITH WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND ABUNDANT
MOISTURE.

VERTICAL WIND PROFILES SUGGEST DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL OCCUR WITH
THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALSO...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR THESE
THUNDERSTORMS TO ROTATE RESULTING IN TORNADOS.

PERSONS ACROSS ARKANSAS SHOULD REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND
PLANS. STORM SPOTTERS...AMATEUR RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY
MANAGERS WILL LIKELY BE ACTIVATED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT IN
RESPONSE TO SEVERE WEATHER.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL TELEVISION OR RADIO
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR UPDATED INFORMATION
REGARDING THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

ARZ052>057-062>069-270000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
107 PM CST MON NOV 26 2001

TORNADO WATCH 824 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM. THIS WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FOR AN AREA...GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM GLENWOOD...TO
STUTTGART.

ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY BECOME UNSTABLE THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...MOVING EAST
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHEAST TEXAS. THE UNSTABLE
CONDITIONS...ALONG WITH VERTICAL WIND PROFILES SUGGEST THUNDERSTORMS
THAT FORM AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL DEVELOP QUICKLY...AND WILL
LIKELY BECOME SUPERCELLS.  THE SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND
TORNADOES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL TELEVISION OR RADIO
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS
CONCERNING THIS SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

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