Severe Thunderstorm Warning 196, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
335 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2001

MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT. WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS
OVER ARKANSAS. OLD BOUNDARY REMAINS GENERALLY STATIONARY OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL ARKANSAS. AFTERNOON HEATING MAKING ATMOSPHERE EVEN MORE
UNSTABLE. WILL GO WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FOR FORECAST AREA FOR
TONIGHT. SPC ISSUING TORNADO WATCH FOR WESTERN COUNTIES AS 4 PM.
COLD FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE ON
THURSDAY. WILL KEEP SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FORECAST AREA
FOR THURSDAY...WITH CHANCES DECREASING FROM THE NORTHWEST AS THE
FRONT PROGRESSES FARTHER DURING THE DAY. THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY
LOOK TO BE PARTLY CLOUDY. AVN INDICATING ANOTHER FAST MOVING FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE FRIDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE SOMEWHAT
LIMITED...BUT WILL INCLUDE SMALL POPS IN FOR FRIDAY NIGHT. SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY LOOK DRY. NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BEGIN LATE MONDAY AND
CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. NGM MOS POPS AND TEMPERATURES GENERALLY
REASONABLE. (22)

.LIT...NONE

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ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-310400-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED ISSUE TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
130 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2001

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT OVER MOST OF ARKANSAS. THERE IS ALSO A MODERATE RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER OVER PARTS OF EXTREME WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER
ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF
STORMS SHOULD BE OVER THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES.

THE MAIN THREATS OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. BRIEF...HEAVY RAINS AND
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORMS AS WELL.

EMERGENCY MANAGERS...STORM SPOTTERS...AND AMATEUR RADIO OPERATORS MAY
NEED TO BE ACTIVATED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS ANY SOME PARTS OF
ARKANSAS.

16

ARZ037>042-052>054-066-310159-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
350 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2001

...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 329 SOUTH AND WEST SECTIONS UNTIL 900 PM
CDT...

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING IN PARTS OF WEST AND SOUTH ARKANSAS. A
FEW TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

THE MAIN THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL ALONG WITH POSSIBLE TORNADOES. DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WILL
ACCOMPANY THE STORMS AS WELL.

16