Flash Flood Warning 48, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
355 AM CST THU NOV 29 2001

MORE RAIN/COLD WEATHER TODAY...AND THEN A QUICK WARMUP. VIGOROUS
STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK FROM EASTERN LOUISIANA THROUGH WESTERN
MISSISSIPPI AND WESTERN TENNESSEE TODAY. AS SYSTEM HEADS
NORTHEAST...ONE MORE SHOT OF WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION...WITH
POSSIBLE HEAVY RAIN ONCE AGAIN IN THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE.

APPEARS THAT PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD LATE THIS MORNING
AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. BEFORE ONSET OF WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION...AREAS LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE IN EXTREME
NORTHERN ARKANSAS...WITH A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY POSTED THIS
MORNING. AREAS OF LIGHT/MODERATE RAIN WILL BE NOTED ELSEWHERE WITH
PATCHY FOG.

WITH PROMISE OF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN BY LATER THIS MORNING...WILL
CONTINUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE STATE TODAY.

COLD AIR ALOFT WITH INCOMING SYSTEM...AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS
INDICATE THAT TEMPERATURES MAY FALL A BIT BELOW FREEZING OVERHEAD.
WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SLEET MIX WITH RAIN AT TIMES
TODAY...AND INDICATED AS SUCH IN THE FORECAST.

TONIGHT...SYSTEM WILL BE HEADING TO THE NORTHEAST...WITH
PRECIPITATION ENDING FROM THE SOUTHWEST. CLOUDS WILL HANG AROUND FOR
AWHILE BEHIND SYSTEM...WITH TEMPERATURES NOT DROPPING MUCH.
HOWEVER...WILL SEE A GRADUAL DECREASE IN CLOUDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST
OVERNIGHT.

ON FRIDAY...AFTER SOME CLOUDS IN THE NORTH...WILL SEE MORE SUNSHINE
AND TEMPERATURES 15 TO 20 DEGREES WARMER THAN TODAY.

A FAST MOVING COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE FROM THE NORTHWEST BY
SATURDAY...BUT WILL GO THROUGH THE STATE DRY. THE FRONT WILL BRING A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COOL AIR...AND WILL KEEP DAYTIME TEMPERATURES IN
THE 50S TO AROUND 60 DEGREES AS OPPOSED TO THE 30S AND 40S
TODAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW FRONT...WITH DRY WEATHER CONTINUING SUNDAY
AND MONDAY. HIGH WILL MOVE TO THE EAST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...WITH
MOISTURE INCREASING FROM THE SOUTH AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSHOWERS EXPECTED. (46)

.LZK...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY THIS MORNING IN NORTH CENTRAL
       ARKANSAS...ARZONES 3>5-12-13
       FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
       TODAY...ARZONES 57-63>65-67>69

ARZ034-046-047-056-057-063>065-068-069-292000-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
421 AM CST THU NOV 29 2001

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING
ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EAST AND
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS CENTERED OVER TEXAS AND
WAS MOVING NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BASIN. LOW LEVEL
WINDS WERE PULLING IN COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF GULF MOISTURE. WITH THE
COLD AIR IN PLACE...LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT.

PERSONS ACROSS EAST AND SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS SHOULD REVIEW SEVERE
WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND PLANS. STORM SPOTTERS...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS MAY BE ACTIVATED TODAY THROUGH
THIS EVENING IN RESPONSE TO THIS POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL TELEVISION OR RADIO
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR UPDATED INFORMATION
REGARDING THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.