Flash Flood Warning 24, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
335 AM CDT THU MAY 31 2001

BUSY NIGHT...SO WILL HAVE TO BE BRIEF.

MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT NEXT FEW DAYS WITH SURFACE AND UPPER
FEATURES. WILL HAVE TO KEEP HIGH POPS WITH HEAVY RAIN/FLASH FLOOD
THREAT AND A FEW SEVERE STORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN ZONES THIS
MORNING...WITH DECREASING POPS THIS AFTERNOON. LATEST
SATELLITE/RADAR TRENDS SUGGEST HEAVIEST RAINS SINKING BACK TO THE
SOUTH INTO SHV FORECAST AREA...SO WILL HOLD OFF ON FLASH FLOOD WATCH
FOR NOW. MAIN FLOOD THREAT WOULD BE TO OUR EXTREME SOUTHERN ROW OF
COUNTIES...WHERE WARNINGS ARE ALREADY IN EFFECT.

CENTRAL SECTIONS SHOULD SEE THUNDERSTORMS COME TO AN END EARLIER...
BUT WILL KEEP SCATTERED TO LIKELY CHANCES IN FOR THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS.

DRIER AIR MOVES IN FOR TONIGHT/FRIDAY ALL AREAS. NEXT COLD FRONT
SLATED FOR FRIDAY NIGHT. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF RETURN FLOW WITH
THIS FRONT...BUT MODELS ADVERTISE FAIRLY HIGH INTEGRATED MOISTURE
VALUES AND MODERATE INSTABILITY...SO WILL GO WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSHOWERS FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN CLEAR THINGS OUT SAT
BEHIND THE FRONT.

(45)

.LIT...NONE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1045 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2001

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0759 PM    SPARKMAN                  AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/30/01   DALLAS                         TREES AND POWER LINES
                                          DOWN. REPORTED BY
                                          SHERIFFS OFFICE.

0853 PM    15 NE RISON               AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/30/01   CLEVELAND                      TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY
                                          STATE POLICE.

0910 PM    10 S RISON                AR   1.75 INCH HAIL
05/30/01   CLEVELAND                      REPORTED BY STATE POLICE.

1015 PM    4 SW THORNTON             AR   .75 INCH HAIL
05/30/01   CALHOUN                        REPORTED BY GOVERNMENT
                                          OFFICIAL.

1015 PM    4 SW THORNTON             AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/30/01   CALHOUN                        FEW SMALL TREES AND
                                          LARGE LIMBS DOWN.
                                          REPORTED BY GOVERNMENT
      k                                    OFFICIAL.

ARZ056-057-062>069-311830-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT THU MAY 31 2001

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER TODAY...

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN ONE THIRD OF ARKANSAS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER TODAY OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
ONE THIRD OF ARKANSAS.

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS ARKANSAS
TODAY. THIS FRONT WILL COLLIDE WITH WARM AND HUMID AIR OVER SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS. THIS WILL TRIGGER THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE. RAIN WILL BE
HEAVY AT TIMES.

THE MAIN THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL. DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORMS AS WELL.

EMERGENCY MANAGERS...STORM SPOTTERS...AND AMATEUR RADIO OPERATORS MAY
NEED TO BE ACTIVATED LATER TODAY.

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