Tornado Warning 12, NWS Baltimore/Washington

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON
145 PM EDT MON SEP 24 2001

UPDATE ISSUED FOR TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 8PM FOR EASTERN HALF OF CWA.

*****

STEADY RAIN WILL BE MOVNG INTO EASTERN WV AND WSTRN MD DURING THE
MIDDAY HOURS. MAIN AREAS OF CONVCTN LATE THIS MORNING ARE CONFINED
TO OUR N IN PA AND NY AND TO OUR S IN THE CAROLINAS. WILL KEEP
FORECAST PRETTY MUCH AS IS WITH SOME MINOR WORDING CHGS TO REFLCT
CURRNT TRENDS.

STRONG
FCSTID = 78
DCA   78  63  73  53 /  90 100  10  10
BWI   76  61  72  49 /  80 100  10  10
MRB   73  56  68  45 / 100  90  10  10
IAD   76  58  70  47 / 100  90  10  10
CHO   75  59  72  47 / 100  80  10  10
HGR   72  58  67  47 / 100  90  10  10
NHK   78  62  72  53 /  80 100  10  10
W99   72  55  67  43 / 100  70  20  10

.LWX...
DC...NONE.
MD...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

DCZ001-MDZ002>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-VAZ021-025>031-036>042-
050>057-WVZ048>055-242000-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE-WASHINGTON
1107 AM EDT MON SEP 24 2001

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
MID-ATLANTIC TODAY...

A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THIS WEATHER
SYSTEM AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR THE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA... NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA... MUCH OF
MARYLAND... AND THE EASTERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA.

THE MAIN THREAT FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL. THERE IS ALSO A
POSSIBILITY THAT ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY OCCUR.

HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY RESULT IN
ISOLATED FLOODING... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS AND IN LOW LYING
AREAS NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER MEDIA OUTLETS FOR UPDATED
FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS.

STRONG

DCZ001-MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-VAZ028-030-031-039>042-
050>057-WVZ051>053-250000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE-WASHINGTON
203 PM EDT MON SEP 24 2001

...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING...

A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EASTERN THIRD OF VIRGINIA...
THE EASTERNMOST THREE COUNTIES IN WEST VIRGINIA... AND ALL OF
MARYLAND WEST OF THE BAY WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GARRETT AND ALLEGANY
COUNTIES. THIS ALSO INCLUDES THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA AND THE WATERS
OF THE TIDAL POTOMAC AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY.

A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADO
FORMATION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WILL BE MONITORING THESE STORMS...AND WILL ISSUE WARNINGS IF
TORNADOES OR ANY OTHER SEVERE WEATHER IS IMMINENT IN YOUR AREA.

A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS WEATHER SYSTEM AS IT
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. AS THESE STORMS MOVE EAST OVER THE AREA...
THEY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS... HAIL...
AND TORNADOES.

ALSO... HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THESE STORMS MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED
FLOODING... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS AND IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR
CREEKS AND STREAMS.

THE SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION NETWORK HAS BEEN ACTIVATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER MEDIA OUTLETS FOR UPDATED
FORECASTS... STATEMENTS... AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/ER/LWX

STRONG