Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1, NWS Lubbock, TX

SOUTH PLAINS AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1235 PM CST THU FEB 8 2001

CLEAR AREA IN EASTERN NEW MEXICO IS WARMING UP, WITH TEMPERATURES IN
THE MID 60S. OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS SURFACE DEW POINTS IN
THIS AREA SHOULD GET INTO THE 50S. MAY SEE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO THE WESTERN ZONES LATER THIS AFTERNOON, SOME
WITH HAIL. ANOTHER AREA TO WATCH WILL BE NORTHEAST ZONES NEAR THE
SURFACE FRONT WHERE DEW POINTS MAY EXCEED 60. NORTHWEST ZONES MAY
SEE WINTRY PRECIPITATION THIS EVENING. RISK OF SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION ENDS LATER TONIGHT WITH PASSAGE OF MID LEVEL TROF,
FOLLOWED BY COOLER WEATHER TOMORROW AND SATURDAY AS COLD AIR SLIDES
IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM. DRY AND WARMER INTO NEXT WEEK WITH WESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT.

PRELIMINARY:
FRIONA/TULIA       24/38/18/50/26 50000
CHILDRESS          32/37/21/46/27 70000
BROWNFIELD/LUBBOCK 30/42/22/48/27 40000
ASPERMONT          34/43/23/48/30 70000

.LUB...NONE.

TXZ021>044-082000-

AREA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1122 AM CST THU FEB 8 2001

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR A PORTION OF THE
EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND THE LOW ROLLING PLAINS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS GENERALLY ALONG
AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CHILDRESS TO MATADOR TO MCADOO.

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM NEAR THE SOUTHWEST ARIZONA/MEXICO
BORDER THIS MORNING WILL MOVE INTO NEW MEXICO LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. STRONG SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS AHEAD OF A SURFACE LOW
AND PACIFIC COLD FRONT MOVING INTO WEST TEXAS DURING THE AFTERNOON
WILL CONTINUE TO PUMP LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE AREA. THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE PACIFIC COLD FRONT/DRY LINE AS IT
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF
THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN
THREAT.

SPOTTER A<CTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

VALDEZ

TXZ021>044-082300-

AREA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
325 PM CST THU FEB 8 2001

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST
SECTIONS OF THE LOW ROLLING PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS GENERALLY EAST OF A GUTHRIE...JAYTON LINE.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR ALL OF THE SOUTH
PLAINS...THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND THE REMAINDER OF
THE LOW ROLLING PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER SOUTHEAST ARIZONA WILL MOVE
INTO NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO LATE THIS EVENING. A DRY LINE/PACIFIC
COLD FRONT NEAR THE NEW MEXICO BORDER WILL ALSO MOVE THROUGH THE
REGION THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG
THE PACIFIC COLD FRONT/DRY LINE...SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE. ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY
EAST OF THE CAP ROCK...DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE MAIN
THREAT.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

VALDEZ