Flash Flood Warning 10, NWS Louisville, KY

Issued

Jul 20, 2001, 6:55 AM EST (11:55 UTC)

Expired

Jul 20, 2001, 7:30 AM EST

In force

35 min

Issued by

NWS Louisville, KY

Area

Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Dubois County, IN

000 
WGUS53 KLMK 201200
FFWLMK
INC037-201330-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
655 AM EST FRI JUL 20 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN DUBOIS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA

* UNTIL 830 AM EST

* AT 650 AM EST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY
  HEAVY RAIN OVER EAST CENTRAL DUBOIS COUNTY...BETWEEN JASPER
  AND CELESTINE...DRIFTING ONLY VERY SLOWLY SOUTHEAST.

  DOPPLER RADAR HAS ESTIMATED THAT AROUND 2.50 INCHES OF RAIN
  HAS ALREADY FALLEN IN PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL DUBOIS COUNTY.
  ANOTHER INCH OR TWO OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT
  HOUR...WHICH WILL LIKELY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ST. ANTHONY...
  SCHNELLVILE...MENTOR...KYANA AND BIRDSEYE.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY.
THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY.
VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL+ WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN LOUISVILLE.

LAT...LON 3853 8675 3850 8694 3820 8684 3827 8668

STUREY

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 20, 2:55 AM EST, 4 hours earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
355 AM EDT FRI JUL 20 2001

OUR BEST ESTIMATE...FOR S/W AXIS LOCATION ERY THIS MRNG ACRS THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VLY...WAS FM E-CNTRL MO TO CNTRL IL...PER WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY.  MODELS SIMILIAR IN TAKING THIS FEATURE SEWD BY ERY AFTN
INTO TN...ALTHOUGH CONVECTIVE BLOW-UP FM AVN LKS UNREASONABLE. SCT
SHWRS/TSTMS SHUD CLIP OUR WRN FA THIS MRNG... ALNG H85 THETA-E &
INSTABILITY AXIS. ROGUE SHWRS PSBL EVERYWHERE ELSE THIS MRNG...IN
TROPICAL LIKE AIRMASS. WE HAVE FOLLOWED TIME SECTION TRENDS IN OUR
NRN FORECAST AREA (FA) TRYING TO THIN CLDS OUT THIS AFTN. QUESTION
THEN WILL SUBSIDENCE...IN WAKE OF S/W...QUELL ANY AFTERNOON TSTM
POTENTIAL? SINCE WE ARE GOING FOR SOME CLRG (MNLY NORTH)  EXPECT TO
REACH OUR CONVECTIVE TEMPS...WITH WDLY SCT TO SCT RANDOM TSTMS PSBL
IN HEAT AND HUMIDITY OF AFTN ACRS ENTIRE FA.  WE ARE CLOSE TO BOTH
NGM AND AVN MOS GUIDE TDA NORTH...AND JUST A TAD UNDER GUIDE IN THE
SOUTH.

WILL LET DAY CREW INSERT (IF NEEDED) EVNG CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL...BUT
AT THIS POINT WUD HAVE TO BLANKET ENTIRE AREA WITH A SMALL POP AND
PREFER NOT TO GO THAT ROUTE.  FOG AGAIN LATE TNGT IN JUICY AIRMASS.

LACK OF ANY FOCUSING MECHANISM ON SATURDAY SUGGESTS ISO TO WDLY SCT
TSTMS AT BEST...BELOW THRESHOLD TO MENTION THIS FAR OUT.

ETA THEN SHOWING DECENT POTENTIAL FOR MCS DEVELOPING UPSTREAM SAT
NIGHT AND ROLLING SEWD IN VEERING LLJ.  BELEIVE THIS ACTIVITY WUD
NOT REACH OUR FA UNTIL SUNDAY.  WILL GO AHEAD AND ADD POPS ACRS
OUR ENTIRE RGN ON SUNDAY.

LESS CLDS ON SATURDAY SHUD MEAN A DEGREE OR TWO BETTER ON HIGH
TEMPERATURES...COMPARED TO TDA...CONSIDERING LTL CHANGE IN OVERALL
THERMAL PROFILE.

.SDF...NONE.
STUREY

Flash Flood Warnings in Indiana, 2001Every flash flood warning in 2001

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.