Severe Thunderstorm Warning 6, NWS Lake Charles, LA

SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
134 AM CST MON JAN 29 2001

MODELS APPEAR TO BE WELL INITIALIZED AT 00Z AND OUT PUTS ARE
SIMILAR FOR OUR AREA.

AT UPPER LEVELS SIGNIFICANT DIVERGENCE IS PROGGED FOR THE AREA TODAY
AHEAD OF MID AND UPPER TROUGH PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT. NOSE
OF UPPER JET IS PROGGED OVER NORTHERN LOUISIANA OR THE NORTHWESTERN
EXTREMES OF THE LOCAL AREA THIS MORNING INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI BY
EVENING. THIS IS A LITTLE FAR NORTH TO AID STORM PRODUCTION EXCEPT
OVER THE NORTHERN EXTREMES OF THE AREA. STRONG LOW TO MID LEVEL LIFT
WILL TRAVERSE THE AREA TODAY. MODERATE LIFT WILL RETURN TUESDAY
NIGHT. 50 KT LOW LEVEL JET PROGGED TO TRAVERSE EAST ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY SHOULD PROVIDE PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FOR STORM
PRODUCTION. SURFACE NORTH TO SOUTH COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND OVER THE
WESTERN EXTREMES OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING AND SHIFT TO THE
EAST OF THE AREA BY EVENING. BEHIND THE FRONT...DRY AIR SHOULD
PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

WILL CALL FOR CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 90 PERCENT TODAY
THEN 0 POPS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. A SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP EAST INTO THE WESTERN EXTREMES OF THE AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING AND TRAVERSE EAST OVER THE AREA TODAY. SEVERE STORMS...
PRIMARILY PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...ARE A POSSIBILITY TODAY.
FRONT IS PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH SO QUICKLY THAT FLOOD PRODUCING
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED...BASIN AVERAGE 24 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
PEGGED AT AN ONLY AN INCH TO AN INCH AND A QUARTER FOR OUR AREA.

.LCH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HIGH ISLAND TO ATCHAFALAYA RIVER...
    ...GMZ450-455-470-4o75

.PRELIMINARY NUMBERS...
AEX 62/43/67/44 9000
BPT 66/44/69/46 9000
LCH 67/46/69/46 9000
LFT 70/47/69/46 9000

GMZ450-455-470-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-
292200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
300 AM CST MON JAN 29 2001

...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
THAT WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE AREA. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...A FEW ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT WILL BE MOVING NORTHEAST THROUGH
NORTHERN ARKANSAS AT SUNRISE WILL TRAIL A COLD FRONT SOUTH FROM
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL DRAG THE COLD FRONT EAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
LOUISIANA TODAY. AHEAD OF THE FRONT A LINE OR LINES OF STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. THE STORMS WILL DEVELOP INTO
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS PRIOR TO SUNRISE TODAY...MOVE THROUGH SOUTHWEST
AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA THROUGH MID DAY AND MOVE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE INTO
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA BY MID AFTERNOON. THE THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS
WILL END AS THE FRONT PASSES.

THE LINE OR LINES OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY EXTEND SOUTHWEST OR
SOUTH OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND MOVE FROM HIGH ISLAND EARLY THIS
MORNING THROUGH THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS
AND SEAS WILL BE LOCALLY HIGHER NEAR THE THUNDERSTORMS AND COULD POSE
A THREAT TO THE SAFETWY OF MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN SMALL
CRAFT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS
DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

SPARKS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES, LA
719 AM CST MON JAN 29 2001

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0518 AM    JASPER                    TX   WIND DAMAGE
01/29/01   JASPER                         LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED
                                          TREES BLOWN DOWN AT HOPKINS
                                          DRIVE

0533 AM    BROOKELAND                TX   WIND DAMAGE
01/29/01   JASPER                         LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED
                                          TREES BLOWN DOWN ALONG
                                          HIGHWAY 96 AT BROOKELAND

0545 AM    EVADALE                   TX   WIND DAMAGE
01/29/01   JASPER                         LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED
                                          TREES BLOWN DOWN AT JONES
                                          ROAD IN EVADALE

0603 AM    BURKEVILLE                TX   WIND DAMAGE
01/29/01   NEWTON                         TREES BLOWN DOWN ACROSS
                                          HIGHWAYS 87 AND 692 AT
                                          BURKEVILLE

GMZ450-455-470-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-
291500-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
730 AM CST MON JAN 29 2001

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 9 CONTINUES UNTIL 900 AM THIS
MORNING FOR CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 9 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...  HARDIN...JASPER...
JEFFERSON...NEWTON...ORANGE...TYLER

A LINE OF SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM FLATWOODS IN
NORTHWEST RAPIDES PARISH TO DEQUINCY IN NORTHERN CALCASIEU PARISH TO
HACKBERRY IN CAMERON PARISH. THE LINE EXTENDED OFFSHORE FOR 60
NAUTICAL MILES. THE LINE WAS MOVING EAST 40 MPH...WHILE THE
INDIVIDUAL STORMS WERE RACING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH OR MORE.

SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS IN THE LINE WILL PRODUCE WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 50 MPH WHICH WILL BLOW OVER TREES AND DAMAGE POWER LINES. THEREG
IS A DANGER TO MOTORISTS FROM TREES FALLING ACROSS ROADWAYS.

THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER HAS ENDED OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
THOSE COUNTIES HAVE BEEN CLEARED FROM THE WATCH.

SPARKS