Severe Thunderstorm Warning 72, NWS Jackson, KY

Issued

Jul 5, 2001, 4:46 PM EDT (20:46 UTC)

Expired

Jul 5, 2001, 5:45 PM EDT

In force

59 min

Issued by

NWS Jackson, KY

Area

Whole counties

County Wayne County, KY

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

000 
WUUS53 KJKL 052047
SVRJKL

KYC231-052145-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
446 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WAYNE COUNTY

* UNTIL 545 PM EDT

* AT 446 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER
  PARNELL...OR ABOUT 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF MONTICELLO...MOVING
  SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  OVER MONTICELLO AT 505 PM EDT.
  2 MILES NORTHEAST OF OIL VALLEY AT 525 PM EDT.
  OVER BARRIER AT 535 PM EDT.
  OVER COOPERSVILLE AT 540 PM EDT.
  2 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROCKEYBRANCH AT 545 PM EDT.

STRONG DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND INTENSE RAIN ARE LIKELY WITH 
THIS STORM.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 60
MPH...WHICH COULD BLOW DOWN TREES AND BREAK OFF LARGE LIMBS.

IF YOU ARE IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM...MOVE TO A SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. REQUEST 
THEY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE JACKSON WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST 
OFFICE.

LAT...LON 3702 8495 3687 8509 366'1 8479 3684 8457

$$

DUSTY

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 5, 3:40 PM EDT, 1 hour 6 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
340 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2001

ISOLATED CONVECTION HAS JUST DEVELOPED IN EAST KY IN ABOUT THE LAST
HOUR. THE SURFACE COLD FRONT (OR AT LEAST DEW POINT BOUNDARY/WIND
SHIFT) IS NEAR THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE FORECAST AREA. CONVECTION
HAS ALSO FIRED NEAR THE BOUNDARY IN OHIO ON NORTHEASTWARD. AS THE
FRONT PUSHES SOUTH...WILL EXPECT AT LEAST ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
CONVECTION TO OCCUR IN THE AREA THIS EVENING. VAD WIND PROFILE SHOWS
AROUND 40 KT OF WIND AT 500 MB...WITH SOME MEAGER DIRECTIONAL SHEAR.
WOULD NOT RULE OUT SOME STRONG STORMS AS THE FRONT SINKS FURTHER
SOUTH TOWARD GREATER INSTABILITY. WILL CARRY AN EARLY EVENING PERIOD
BEFORE 00Z IN THE NORTH FOR WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION...AND WILL
GO A LITTLE ABOVE GUIDANCE IN THE SOUTH AND CARRY A 30 PERCENT
EVENING POP FOR THE FIRST VERIFICATION PERIOD.

BY LATE TONIGHT THE FRONT SHOULD BE PUSHING ON SOUTH WITH DRIER AIR
MOVING IN. THIS WILL HOLD ON FRIDAY WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. ONLY
SOME HIGH CLOUDS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT.

ON SATURDAY THERE IS SOME DISCREPANCY IN HOW FAST THE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE RETURNS...WITH THE ETA/MESOETA BEING FASTEST. THESE TWO
MODELS SHOW CONVECTIVE PRECIP INTO EASTERN KENTUCKY IN THE
AFTERNOON. THE AVN IS SLOWER. THINK IT IS WORTH A MINIMAL CHANCE POP
IN THE AFTERNOON...WITH A CHANCE POP CONTINUING SATURDAY NIGHT FOR
POTENTIAL OF PRECIP FROM AN MCS.

GUIDANCE TEMPS LOOK A LITTLE TOO WARM ON SATURDAY AND WILL UNDERCUT
SLIGHTLY. OTHERWISE WILL STAY CLOSE.

IN THE EXTENDED SECTION...THE MRF FROM LAST NIGHT AS WELL AS THE AVN
FROM TODAY BOTH INDICATE THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL BE PAST BY MONDAY.
WILL LIMIT CHANCE OF SHOWERS/STORMS TO SUNDAY...AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY AS YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT DROPS IN UNDER THE NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT.

.JKL...NONE.

HAL

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2001Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2001

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.