Severe Thunderstorm Warning 3, NWS Jackson, KY

Issued

Mar 13, 2001, 4:51 AM EST (09:51 UTC)

Expired

Mar 13, 2001, 5:30 AM EST

In force

39 min

Issued by

NWS Jackson, KY

Area

Whole counties

County Perry County, KY

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

115 
WUUS53 KJKL 130951
SVRJKL
KYC193-131030-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
451 AM EST TUE MAR 13 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  PERRY COUNTY

* UNTIL 530 AM EST

* AT 451 AM EST...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 22 MILES WEST
  OF HAZARD...OR ABOUT 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF MANCHESTER...MOVING EAST
  AT 45 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  4 MILES NORTH OF HAZARD AT 515 AM EST.

VERY LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU ARE
IN THE PATH OF THE STORM...MOVE TO A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 13, 1:45 AM EST, 3 hours 6 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
145 AM EST TUE MAR 13 2001

NEW LINE OF CONVECTION FORMING ALONG COLD FRONT IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY
AT THIS TIME AS ADVERTISED. THIS LINE SHOULD REACH EASTERN KENTUCKY
BY ABOUT 09Z.

RATHER COMPLICATED SCENARIO THIS FORECAST PERIOD. ONCE THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SWINGS THROUGH THE AREA...ANOTHER VORT MAX WILL ROTATE
AROUND THE UPPER LOW CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES.
THIS WILL SKIM THE NORTHERN PART OF OUR CWA LATE IN THE FIRST PERIOD.
WILL BREAK OFF THE FAR NORTHERN COUNTIES FOR AN ENHANCED CHANCE OF
SHOWERS.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD INTO THE AREA RESULTING IN A
DECREASE IN CLOUDS AND BENIGN WEATHER IN THE SECOND AND THIRD
PERIODS. TEMPS WILL BE FAIRLY CLOSE TO CLIMATOLOGY.

ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA BY LATE IN THE FOURTH PERIOD.
MESOETA PROJECTS ONE OF THE SURFACE LOWS TO TRACK THROUGH THE GULF
COAST STATES AND PROVIDE AN OVERRUNNING EVENT FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY.
AT THE SAME TIME...ANOTHER SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES REGION. EXPECT TO SEE SOME LIGHT PRECIP START MOVING INTO OUR
SOUTHERN COUNTIES BY 12Z THURSDAY.

MAV AND FWC GUIDANCE TEMPS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT AND LOOK
REASONABLE. GUIDANCE POPS DO NOT AGREE WELL IN THE FIRST PERIOD.
WILL TEND TO GO WITH A COMPROMISE WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE
NORTHERN COUNTIES WHERE THE HIGHER POPS WILL BE FAVORED AS NOTED.

.JKL...NONE.

LCM

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2001Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2001

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.