Severe Thunderstorm Warning 121, NWS Jackson, KY

Issued

Oct 24, 2001, 9:12 PM EDT (01:12 UTC)

Expired

Oct 24, 2001, 10:00 PM EDT

In force

48 min

Issued by

NWS Jackson, KY

Area

Whole counties

Counties Bath County, KY, Fleming County, KY

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

828 
WUUS53 KJKL 250112
SVRJKL
KYC011-069-250200-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
912 PM EDT WED OCT 24 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  FLEMING COUNTY
  BATH COUNTY

* UNTIL 1000 PM EDT

* AT 912 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES WEST
  OF COWAN...OR ABOUT 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CYNTHIANA...MOVING EAST AT
  50 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  COWAN AROUND 925 PM EDT
  OWINGSVILLE AROUND 935 PM EDT
  WALLINGFORD AROUND 940 PM EDT

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT THURSDAY MORNING
FOR EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

STRONG DAMAGING WINDS AND INTENSE RAIN ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

IF YOU ARE IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM...MOVE TO A SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE JACKSON WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE.

$$

HEINLEIN

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 24, 2:40 PM EDT, 6 hours 32 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
240 PM EDT WED OCT 24 2001

12Z SFC CHART HAD A WELL DEFINED COLD FNT LOCATED FM MSP TO SRN WI
TO NE MO TO SE MO. GOOD LLVL MOISTURE WITH 50+ DWPTS EXTENDING AS
FAR NORTH AS APN. 60+ DWPTS HAVE PUSHED NORTH THRU ERN MO AND CNTRL
KY/FAR SRN IN. ERN KY HAS REMAINED RELATIVELY DRY WITH DWPTS STILL
IN THE 50S AT PRESS TIME. UPPER AIR CHARTS ALL INDICATE A VERTICALLY
STACKED TROF OVER THE CNTRL US WITH STRONG INFLOW JETS AT ALL LVLS.
PROBLEM FOR ERN KY IS THE LACK OF MID LVL MOISTURE. ALL LVLS FROM
85H/70H/50H HAVE DRY AIR ON A 40 TO 60 KT JET WITH THE BEST WINDS AT
70H. HOWEVER THE FETCH IS FROM THE SRN PLAINS AND NOT THE GULF. THIS
SOURCE REGION HAS DWPT DEPRESSIONS OF 16 DEG C.  THIS LACK OF
AVAILABLE MOISTURE IS GOING TO LIMIT THE DURATION OF THE BEST
RAINFALL.

MODELS ALL LOOK GOOD WITH THE AVN THE MOST CONSISTENT AS STATED BY
HPC. WILL FOLLOW AVN FOR THE MAJORITY OF THIS FCST. FNTL PASSAGE
THRU ERN KY BETWEEN 02Z TO 05Z. EXPECTING MOST LOCATIONS IN CWFA TO
MEASURE BUT DYNAMICS NOT FAVORABLE FOR SVR. HOWEVER...THIS SAID AND
THE SPEED OF THE SYSTEM AND THE SPEED OF THE 85H WINDS GIVE US THE
POSSIBILITY FOR LLVL DAMAGING WINDS WITH ANY DOWNWARD TRANSPORT. AT
THE VERY LEAST WILL ISSUE A HIGH WIND ADVISORY FOR THE RIDGETOPS OF
ERN KY FOR THE OVERNIGHT PD AND EXTEND IT INTO THE DAY ON THU. WILL
ALLOW LATER SHIFTS DECIDE IF AN EXTENSION WILL BE NECESSARY.

COLDEST TEMPS WILL BE SAT MORNING WITH A GOOD CHANCE FOR
ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW FOR OUR NRN AND ERN COUNTIES. BY SAT
AFTERNOON THE TEMPS WARM SUFFICIENTLY TO STOP THE SNOW AND THE FETCH
CHANGES TO CUT US OFF FROM LK MI. WILL HAVE TO CONSIDER ANOTHER
ROUND OF COLD TEMPS FOR SUN AM AS THE HIGH MOVES TO WRN KY AND WE
SET UP WITH LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES. THE VALLEYS WILL TRAP THE
COLD AIR AND WHAT HEAT IS LEFT WILL RADIATE AWAY.

EXTENDED LOOKS TO BE DRY WITH WARMING TREND THRU WED. NEXT SHOT OF
MOISTURE NOT UNTIL FRI WITH THE MRF.

.JKL...WIND ADVISORY FOR EASTERN 2/3 CWFA THRU NOON THU.

DUSTY

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2001Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2001

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.