Severe Thunderstorm Warning 85, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
250 AM EDT TUE JUN 12 2001

CURRENTLY...WATCHING ROTATION ON THE KVAX 88D JUST ENTERING THE FCST
AREA...AND BEGINNING TO SHOW ON KJAX ALSO. OTHERWISE SHOWERS WITH A
FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS COVER MUCH OF SE GA WHILE BANDS OF
SHOWERS ARE MOVING ACROSS NE FL. WILL ISSUE FLOOD WARNINGS OVER
WESTERN COS WHERE CONTINUOUS TRAINING OF CELLS IS OCCURRING AND
RADAR SHOWS UP TO 5 INCHES.

STRONG SFC LOW OVER SRN AL (REMNANTS OF T.S. ALLISON) CONTAINING
PLENTY OF TROPICAL MOISTURE IS VERY SLOWLY MOVING NE AND PRODUCING
COPIOUS RAINS. CONTINUING THIS MOTION THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO
BE OVER N/CENTRAL GA BY TONIGHT AND UPSTATE SC ON WEDNESDAY. ONE
MORE DAY OF PRECIPITATION IS IN STORE. MESOETA DEPICTS PRECIP ENDING
BY EVENING MOST OF THE CWA AND A LINGERING CHANCE OVER THE NORTHERN
PORTION. WILL GO CATEGORICAL POPS OVER N AND W ZONES TAPERING TO
CHANCE OVER S AND E WHERE MORE SUNSHINE WILL PRODUCE TYPICAL AFTN
CONVECTION. WED...WILL SCALE POPS BACK TO 30%-40%. MESOETA SHOWS A
BAND OF PRECIP MOVING ACROSS GA ZONES AND WILL GO HIGHER THERE.

EXTENDED...AVN TAKES THE LOW SLOWLY UP THE ATLC COAST TO CAPE COD BY
SATURDAY NIGHT AND PULLING A FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO CNTRL GA. RIDGE
WILL BUILD ACROSS FL PENINSULA AND OUR PATTERN WILL RETURN TO A MORE
TYPICAL SUMMER TSTM REGIME.

MARINE...SCEC WILL BE NECESSARY N OF SAUF1 WHERE WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO 15+ KT. BASICALLY NO CHANGES TO CURRENT FCST PKG.

PRELIM...
AMG 82/71/87/71 8452
SSI 83/73/86/73 6342
JAX 87/72/91/71 6232
GNV 90/71/90/70 4131 28

.JAX...
.FL...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT HAMILTON...SUWANNEE...GILCHRIST
      AND COLUMBIA COUNTIES.
.GA...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CLINCH...ECHOLS...WARE...
      AND ATKINSON COUNTIES.
      FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 645 AM CLINCH...ECHOLS...PIERCE...WARE
      COUNTIES.

TRABERT

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-120900-

NORTHEAST FLORIDA/SOUTHEAST GEORGIA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1146 PM EDT MON JUN 11 2001

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FOR MOST OF NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA JUST NORTH OF THE STATE
LINE...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES: IN FLORIDA: HAMILTON COLUMBIA SUWANNEE GILCHRIST BAKER
UNION BRADFORD ALACHUA NASSAU DUVAL AND CLAY. IN GEORGIA: WARE
CLINCH ECHOLS CHARLTON AND CAMDEN. ANOTHER LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS FROM VALDOSTA SOUTHWARD TO THE NORTHEAST GULF OF
MEXICO IS MOVING TO THE EAST AT 20 MPH AND WILL PUSH THROUGH DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS...STORM
SPOTTER GROUPS...AND OTHER INTERESTED CONCERNS SHOULD MONITOR THIS
SITUATION AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN
YOUR AREA. TAKE SHELTER IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOU.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
STATIONS...OR CABLE TELEVISION FOR ANY UPDATES OR WARNINGS. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFoORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

HESS