Severe Thunderstorm Warning 108, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
215 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2001

PUBLIC...TSTMS ACRS TLHS AREA SHUD RIDE ESEWD INTO CAPE/LI MAX ACRS
I-10 CORRIDOR OVR THE NXT FEW HRS. 12Z MESOETA WANTS TO DRIVE CNVCTN
FM S/W ACRS CHS AREA LATE THIS AFTN INTO JAX CWA THIS EVE ON A BACK
DOOR FRNT LIKE DIRECTION DOWN THE COAST...WHAT WILL PROBABLY HAPPEN
IS OUTFLOW FM CNVCTN ACRS NE FL WL MEET WITH CNVCTN MOVG SWD AND
FIRE UP STORMS ACRS CSTL SE GA THIS EVE. BOTTOM LINE...SCTD CNVCTN
FOR TONGT ALL CWA...WITH BNDRY SAGGING INTO NCNTRL FL BY AM.
SUN...FRNTL BNDRY SAGGING SWD WL BE MET BY GUD NE FLOW OFF THE ATLC
IN THE AFTN TO FIRE OFF SCTD STORMS ACRS SRN 1/4 OF CWA SUN AFTN
WITH ONLY 20% POPS NWD WITH NRN 1/4 OF CWA PCPN FREE?? MON...NE FLOW
AND GUD ATLC SEA BREEZE SHUD DRIVE ALL THE WAY TO W CST WITH SCTD
CNVCTN ACRS SW 1/4 OF CWA...HV BEEN TOLD THAT ISOLD SHRA/TSTM PSBL
ATLC CST IN THE AM AS SBRZ PUSHES WWD.

XTNDD...RIDGE CONTS TO BUILD SWD ALONG ATLC CST...PUSHING SFC FLOW
TO THE SE AND SCTD CONVCTN INLD AND WDLY SCTD ALONG THE COAST FOR
TUE THRU THU. FRI AND SAT...FRNT APPCHS FM NW AND SW FLOW SHUD PUSH
MORE SCTD ACTIVITY CLOSER TO THE COAST AND JAX METRO AREA.

MARINE...NO FLAGS...WINDS SWITHCING TO THE NE 15 KTS ON SUN/MON SHUD
DRIVE SEAS INTO THE 3-5 FT RANGE.

FIRE WX...DISPERSION INDICES DRIVING RFW TIL SUNSET TODAY AND WATCH
FOR SUN AFTN.

PRELIM
AMG 71/89/67/89 3112
SSI 74/85/73/84 4213
JAX 69/88/68/86 4213
GNV 68/90/67/88 4424

.JAX...
.FL...NONE.
.GA...NONE.

PUBLIC/MARINE...HESS.
FIRE WX AVIATION...SCOTT.

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-162200-

NORTHEAST FLORIDA/SOUTHEAST GEORGIA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1217 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2001

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP BY AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA. THE MAIN HAZARDS FROM THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. SMALL HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY A
FEW STORMS. THE STORMS WILL GENERALLY MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND
15 MPH.

MOST STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS SO SPOTTER
ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODhAY.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

SCOTT