Alert archive / Louisiana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2001

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 147, NWS Jackson, MS

March 31, 2001East Carroll Parish, West Carroll Parish, Louisiana

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 31, 2001, 8:43 PM CST for East Carroll Parish, West Carroll Parish, Louisiana. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued: Mar 31, 2001, 8:43 PM CST (02:43 UTC)
Expired: Mar 31, 2001, 9:15 PM CST
In force: 32 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS
Area: Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

Counties East Carroll Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 118 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1658 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 89 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

015 
WUUS54 KJAN 010243
SVRJAN
LAC035-123-MSC055-010315-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
843 PM CST SAT MAR 31 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  ISSAQUENA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
  WEST CARROLL PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
  EAST CARROLL PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA

* UNTIL 915 PM CST

* AT 843 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  A DEVELOPING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR KILBOURNE...MOVING SOUTHEAST
  AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL...
  BE NEAR MAYERSVILLE AT 910 PM CST

MOVE INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF DIMES IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

64

LAT...LON 3272 9104 3288 9094 3301 9110 3301 9139
          3294 9140 3288 9129

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 31, 3:00 PM CST, 5 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 31, 3:00 PM CST, 5 hours 43 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
300 PM CST SAT MAR 31 2001

TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE CONUS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP EASTWARD THROUGH PERIOD.  BY 24 HOURS THE MID LEVEL FLOW
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE FROM THE NORTHWEST...AS THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS WILL BE EAST OF THE STATE. IN THE FIRST 12
HOURS...THE UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL START TO SHEAR
OUT AS 130KT SPEED MAX DIVES SOUTHEAST TONIGHT. THE COLD FRONT
CURRENTLY APPROACHING NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER
CONCERN THROUGH 15Z SUNDAY.

THE COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI BORDER AROUND
00Z SUNDAY AND ENTER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI BY 09Z. MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE WILL BE WEAK ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE BEST
SHORTWAVE ENERGY...LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE...AND UPPER DIVERGENCE WILL
BE ACROSS THE NORTH THIRD OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE APPROACHING MID
LEVEL COLD POOL WILL HELP TO INCREASE INSTABILITY IN THIS AREA. THE
STEEPEST LAPSE RATES WILL BE NORTH OF HIGHWAY 82 BETWEEN 00-12Z
SUNDAY.

BEHIND THE FRONT...THE AIRMASS WILL DRY OUT...AS SUBSIDENCE TAKES
OVER. WINDS WILL ALSO BE ON THE INCREASE AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
TIGHTENS IN THE EAST. MODELS ALSO INDICATE WINDS AT 850MB TO AVERAGE
25 TO 35 KTS ON SUNDAY. SURFACE WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH (WEST TO EAST)
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. A BATCH MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE NORTH HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY...AVN INDICATING
MAINLY CLOUDS FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THE ETA IS A LITTLE
STRONGER AND SHOWS A CHANCE FOR SOME RAIN LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
NIGHT. AS THE WEAK WAVE MOVES THROUGH NORTHWEST FLOW AND SKIRTS THE
EXTREME NORTHERN ZONES...WILL NOT MENTION RAINFALL AT THIS TIMES.
PER MRF AND NOGAPS...THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE AROUND MID WEEK.

24 HOUR QPF FORECAST...MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL AVEREAGE ONE TENTH INCH IN THE NORTH AND LESS THAN ONE TENTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTH DURING THE FIRST 12 HOURS.

PRELIM NUMBERS
JAN 45/67 46/75 50 300-1
MEI 43/65 42/75 51 2000-

.JAN...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 31, 7:54 PM CST, 49 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
754 PM CST SAT MAR 31 2001

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ...COUNTY LOCATION....

0751 PM    2 E HARDY                MS    1.00 INCH HAIL
04/01/01   GRENADA                        COVERING GROUND
                                          REPORTED BY COOP
                                          OBSERVER

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Louisiana, 2001 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2001

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.