Severe Thunderstorm Warning 103, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
950 PM CST SUN MAR 11 2001

AREA RADARS INDICATING CONVECTION SLOW TO MOVE EAST INTO THE CWFA.
LATEST ETA ALSO INDICATES THIS WITH MAIN BULK NOT ARRIVING OVER
WESTERN ZONES UNTIL AFTER 09Z. UPDATED ZONES TO LOWER POPS AND ADD
TIME WORDING TO TEXT.

.JAN...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
26

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>
074-131200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
155 AM CST MON MAR 12 2001

...THUNDERSTORMS...
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTH MISSISSIPPI THROUGH 6 AM CST THIS MORNING. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING OVER MOST OF
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA. A FEW
STORMS WILL BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE.

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING... ESPECIALLY OVER PORTIONS OF EAST MISSISSIPPI. A FEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF
PHILADELPHIA...TO MENDENHALL...TO BROOKHAVEN MISSISSIPPI LINE.
AGAIN...THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS WITH ISOLATED STORMS
POSSIBLY PRODUCING LARGE HAIL.

A WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SURGE NORTH INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING AHEAD OF A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM NOW
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. ALONG AND BEHIND THE WARM
FRONT...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY AND INTERACT WITH
STRONG LIFT FROM THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. DEEP MOISTURE RETURN OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO ACROSS
THIS AREA WILL INTERACT WITH THIS SYSTEM TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL ACROSS THIS SAME REGION.

ACTIVATION OF SPOTTERS, HAM RADIO OPERATORS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
PERSONNEL WILL BE NECESSARY THIS MORNING OVER THIS AREA.

...FLOODING...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING FOR AREAS
GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A WINNSBORO LOUISIANA...TO PORT
GIBSON...TO CRYSTAL SPRINGS...TO BAY SPRINGS...TO QUITMAN
MISSISSIPPI LINE. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED BY
THIS EVENING FOR THIS PORTION OF EAST-CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINS THE PAST SEVERAL WEEKS...THE SOIL REMAINS
SATURATED. ANY ADDITIONAL...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL MOST LIKELY RUN-OFF
AFTER A PERIOD OF TIME AND POSSIBLY CAUSE SOME URBAN AND SMALL
STREAM FLOODING.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS OR UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN JACKSON MISSISIPPI.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOK.