Severe Thunderstorm Warning 102, NWS Northern Indiana

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
220 PM EST SUN JUL 8 2001

ALTHOUGH LOW LVLS HAVE DRIED OUT A BIT OVER THE N-NE PORTION OF CWA
TDY, MSAS INDICATES CONTD INSTABILITY OVR CWA WITH LI'S -1 NORTH TO
-7 SOUTH. HWVR, LATEST LAPS SOUNDINGS AND LACK OF CU SUGGEST CAP
HOLDING. TSTMS JUST NORTH OF STNRY FRONT OVR NW IL IN RESPONSE TO WK
S/WV MOVG ESE ACRS IA. THESE STORMS SHD EVENTUALLY TURN MORE SE
ALONG 850-300MB THKNS CONTOURS, BUT PRBLY NOT BEFORE AFFECTING
S-SWRN PORTION OF OUR CWA LATE THIS AFTN AND THIS EVENING. WL
MENTION PSBLY SVR FAR S-SW WHERE GREATEST INSTABILITY IN PLACE AND
SPC PLANNING SVR TSTM WATCH.

MODELS INDICATE TROF OVR ERN CAN/NE US WL GRDLY DEEPEN NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. THIS SHD RESULT IN SLOW SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT OF SFC BNDRY.
AMS EXPECTED TO BE UNSTABLE OVR CWA AGAIN MON AFTN, BUT, WITH LACK
OF ANY FORCING MECHANISM WILL CONT WITH DRY FCST ATTM. AMS XPCD TO
REMAIN UNSTABLE TUE, AS WK A WK CDFNT MOVES SOUTH THRU ERN
GRTLKS...THIS COULD TRIGGER SOME TSTMS IN OUR AREA SO WL CONT WITH A
CHC IN FCST.

TEMPS SHD GRDLY COOL IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING TROF TO OUR NE.
COMPROMISE BTWN FAN/MAV/FWC SEEMS REASONABLE.

.IWX...NONE

DJT

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-082000-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1200 PM EST SUN JUL 8 2001

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN INDIANA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...

A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE NEARLY STATIONARY FROM CENTRAL INDIANA TO
NORTHWEST ILLINOIS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST-SOUTHEAST IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT. SOME
OF THESE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE...WITH THE MAIN THREAT DAMAGING WINDS.

THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS IS GENERALLY SOUTH OF A WINAMAC TO WABASH
TO PORTLAND LINE. THE MOST LIKELY TIME OF OCCURRENCE FOR SEVERE
WEATHER IS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING.

MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS
TODAY TO HEAR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
431 PM EST SUN JUL 08 2001

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0428 PM    3 S WOLCOTT               IN   67 MPH TSTM GUST
07/08/01   WHITE                          MEASURED. REPORTED BY
                                          STORM SPOTTER.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
439 PM EST SUN JUL 08 2001

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0430 PM    WOLCOTT                   IN   WIND DAMAGE
07/08/01   WHITE                          SEVERAL TREES DOWN.
                                          REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL.