Severe Thunderstorm Warning 144, NWS Indianapolis, IN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
330 AM EST WED OCT 24 2001

MAIN FEATURE IN MORNING FORECAST IS LIKELIHOOD OF SEVERE WEATHER THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG COLD FRONT. SPC OUTLOOK OF HIGH RISK ACROSS THE AREA
AND RATHER FORCEFULL DAY1 DISCUSSION SPEAKS FOR ITSELF. OTHER FACTOR
FOR TONIGHT IS HOW HIGH WINDS WILL BE TONIGHT AND ON THURSDAY AND
WHAT IF ANY TEMPERATURES RISES CAN BE EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS MOVED TO EASTERN AND SOUTHEAST
PART OF CWA AT 300 AM EST. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE WITH ACTIVITY
GENERALLY ONLY OVER FAR SOUTHEAST CORNER OF CWA BY FORECAST TIME.
OTHER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE HOWEVER DEVELOPED OVER WEST
CENTRAL AREAS BUT DONT SEE ANY LARGE EXPANSION OF THE THIS ACTIVITY
PAST HALF HOUR. THINK DEVELOPMENT WILL SHIFT TO EASTERN
IOWA...MISSOURI AND WESTERN ILLINOIS BY MID TO LATE MORNING. DILEMMA
THEN BECOMES WHETHER WILL BE PARTLY SUNNY WEST HALF OF THE CWA BY MID
MORNING AND HOW HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE. THIS IS REAL POSSIBILITY
AS SOUTHWEST FLOW INCREASING LATER THIS MORNING SO HIGHEST
TEMPERATURES TODAY WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST. DECIDED TO GO PARTLY
SUNNY FAR WEST AND NORTHWEST THIS MORNING AND SCATTERED SHOWERS REST
OF AREA THIS MORNING. WENT WITH OCCASIONAL AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS
WITH MENTION OF SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL BE LEFT TO LATER FORECASTS AND NOT MENTIONED
IN THIS ZONE PACKAGE.

FRONT SWEEPS RAPIDLY EASTWARD TO EASTERN INDIANA BY 00Z-03Z WITH
RAPIDLY DRYING TO FOLLOW EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS STILL
LIKELY EARLY EVENING ALONG FRONT FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS BUT
TIMED ENDING THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. KEPT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR
OVERNIGHT PERIOD FOR FAR NORTHCENTRAL AND NORTHEAST PART OF CWA AS
SOUTHERN FRINGE OF WRAP AROUND MOISTURE IS ACROSS THESE ZONES.
WEST WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. MAY BE
SOME 40 MPH GUSTS FAR NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS SOUTHERN PART OF
THE CWA GENERALLY 20 TO 30 MPH.

VERY WINDY AND MUCH COOLER FOR THURSDAY WITH NEARLY STEADY OR ONLY
SLIGHT RISES IN TEMPERATURES OVER NORTHERN AREAS WITH HIGHS ONLY IN
THE LOWER 40S. MID 40S CENTRAL AREAS LATE AFTERNOON AND UPPER 40S FAR
SOUTH.

.IND...NONE.
RPG

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-241900-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1140 AM EST WED OCT 24 2001

...THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER SAYS THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER IN CENTRAL INDIANA THIS AFTERNOON...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO ENTER CENTRAL INDIANA FROM THE WEST IN
MID AFTERNOON...AND SPREAD TO THE OHIO BORDER IN A FEW HOURS. SOME
OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE TORNADOES. MANY OF THEM COULD PRODUCE
DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

KWIATKOWSKI