Severe Thunderstorm Warning 163, NWS Wilmington, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
930 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2001

HIGHER DEWPTS CONTG TO ADVECT E ACRS FA THIS EVNG WITH READINGS NOW
INTO THE LOW 70S ACRS THE W WITH MID TO UPR 70S ACRS MUCH OF IND.
VORT MAX EVIDENT ON SAT PIX OVR NRN IL AND THIS PROGD TO DROP SE
ACRS FA THRU THE OVRNGT HRS WHILE WAA PATTERN ALSO CONTS OVRNGT WITH
00Z ILN SNDG SHWG 48 KTS AT 700 MB. 00Z SNDG DID HAV A FAIRLY
PRONOUNCED CAP JUST BLO 700 MB BUT CAP WEAKENS CONSIDERABLY WHEN
MODIFIED FOR HIGHER DWPTS THAT ARE BEING ADVECTED INTO AREA. WITH
SOME SPOTTY SHWR ACTVTY ALREADY GOING ACRS PARTS OF NRN FA...STILL
THINK WE MAY SEE SOME DVLPMT OVRNGT SO AM RELUCTANT TO CUT BACK ON
POPS TOO MUCH. LTST SFC ANLYS SHWG CONV BNDRY ACRS NRN IND SO THINK
THIS MAY BE WHERE THINGS GET GOING LATE THIS EVNG AND THEN DROP SE
ACRS FA THRU THE OVRNGT HRS. WL CONT WITH HIGH POPS OVRNGT BUT XPCT
BEST CHC FOR PCPN TO BE ACRS NK AND E PORTIONS OF FA WITH LESSER CHC
ACRS SW WHR CAP SHUD BE A LTL STGR. PWS ALL THE WAY UP TO 1.76
INCHES ON THE EVNG SNDG SO IF STORMS DO GET GOING CUD SEE SOME LCLLY
HVY RAIN.

.ILN...NONE.

LOTT