Severe Thunderstorm Warning 192, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
614 PM CDT THU JUN 21 2001

...AVIATION DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH METRO AIRPORTS...BUT SOME LINGERING
TSRA MAY CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH 01Z. AFTER THAT...SOME
LIMITED CHANCES FOR REDEVELOPMENT WITH NOCTURNAL LOW LEVEL JET...
BUT NOT ENOUGH FOR MENTION IN TAFS. CLEARING WILL BE RATHER QUICK
AFTER 02Z. KACT WILL HAVE LONGER PERIOD WITH TSRA CHANCES THIS
EVENING...WITH NORTHERLY FLOW FROM THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW. FRONT
CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTH OF ALL AIRPORTS BEFORE MIDNIGHT...WITH VFR
AND NORTHERLY FLOW MOST OF THE NEXT 24 HRS. 80

...325 PM PUBLIC DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE FORMING ALONG A COLD FRONT WHICH
EXTENDED NEAR A SHERMAN...MINERAL WELLS...TO COMANCHE LINE.
FORECASTED CAPES INDICATE THAT STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE
EVENING AND A FEW COULD PRODUCE SOME HAIL...HOWEVER...WEAK WINDS
ALOFT AND LITTLE SHEAR DOES NOT SUPPORT WIDE-SPREAD SEVERE STORMS.
EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO END FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT AS DRIER AND
MORE STABLE AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE FRONT.  BY FRIDAY MORNING THE
FRONT WILL BE SOUTH OF THE CWA AND THE UPPER RIDGE IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN U.S. WILL BEGIN TO BUILD EASTWARD. THIS RIDGE WILL
DOMINATE NORTH TEXAS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AND KEEP DRY CONDITIONS
AREA WIDE.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER FOR THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS WITH
DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER 60S.  AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE IN THE UPPER
80S FRIDAY AND SHOULD WARM TO AROUND 90 ON SATURDAY.

THE EXTENDED LOOKS DRY AND SEASONAL AS PER NOGAPS AND CANADIAN
MODELS.  MRF HINTS AT SOME RAIN CHANCES TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER...FORECASTED WEAK EASTERLY WAVE LOOKS SUSPECT AT
THIS TIME.

DFW 66/88/66/92 2000 ACT 67/88/64/93 3000

.FWD...NONE. 79

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-212100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
150 PM CDT THU JUN 21 2001

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ALONG TWO BOUNDARIES. ONE BOUNDARY IS AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT
EXTENDED FROM DENTON...TO MINERAL WELLS...TO JUST NORTH OF BROWNWOOD
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE OTHER BOUNDARY IS A COLD FRONT THAT
EXTENDED FROM EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA....TO SOUTH OF WICHITA FALLS.
THE FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. THE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE. CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE THE HAZARDOUS
WEATHER THREAT.

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-220200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
405 PM CDT THU JUN 21 2001

A SOUTHWARD MOVING COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED NEAR A
SHERMAN...WEATHERFORD...TO COMANCHE LINE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING ALONG
THE FRONT.  ALTHOUGH WIND SHEAR PROFILES ARE NOT OPTIMAL FOR SEVERE
STORM FORMATION...VERTICAL INSTABILITIES WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO REACH SEVERE LIMITS.  THE MAIN THREAT FROM
THESE STORMS WILL BE FROM HAIL UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER...ALONG
WITH DAMAGING GUSTS OF WIND.

THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL END FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT
ONCE DRIER AIR BEGINS TO FILTER IN BEHIND THE FRONT.

LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY SOUTHEAST OF A
SHERMAN...WEATHERFORD...TO EASTLAND LINE THROUGH 9 PM.