Flash Flood Warning 16, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
920 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2001

EARLY DAY STORMS THAT MOVED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL SECTIONS
OF THE ATMOSPHERE HAVE STABILIZED AND DRIED OUT THE LOWER LEVELS
ACROSS CENTRAL AND WEST SECTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS...AND MINIMIZED THE
IMMEDIATE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER.

HOWEVER..ELEVATED MOISTURE HAS RETURNED RAPIDLY OVER THE COOL AIR
MESOHIGH BEHIND THE STORMS...AND HAS COMBINED WITH THE APPROACHING
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN WEST TEXAS TO RESULT IN HIGH-BASED
STORMS FROM NEAR THE RED RIVER AT GAINESVILLE TO FORT WORTH...WITH
OTHER STORMS DEVELOPING FURTHER SOUTH AND WEST.  SINCE THE LOWEST
ATMOSPHERIC LEVELS HAVE BEEN STABILIZED...THE THREAT OF TORNADOES
APPEARS TO BE VERY LOW.  NEVERTHELESS...A THREAT OF HAIL...HIGH
WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES.

A CLEARING SQUALL LINE IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP WITHIN A FEW HOURS IN
THE WEST...WITH ITS PASSAGE ENDING THE THREAT OF STORMS LATE
TONIGHT.  THERE COULD BE REDEVELOPMENT LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS
ANOTHER DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST.  THE
EXTENT OF SUNDAY'S STORMS WILL DEPEND STRONGLY ON THE MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY RETURN DeURING THE DAY.

WILL UPDATE ZONES AND READJUST FOR THE ABOVE EXPECTATIONS TONIGHT.

.FWD...NONE.

26

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-061100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
839 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2001

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
TEXAS TONIGHT.

THE LARGE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX THAT MOVED FROM SOUTHERN INTO EASTERN
PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS THIS EVENING RESULTED IN WIDESPREAD LOW LEVEL
STABILIZATION OF THE AIR MASS ACROSS THE AREA.  HOWEVER...SOME
ELEVATED MOISTURE HAS RETURNED TO WESTERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE
AREA...IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN WEST
TEXAS.

SCATTERED HIGH BASE THUNDERSTORMS WERE FORMING NEAR THE I-35 CORRIDOR
...FROM NEAR GAINESVILLE TO SOUTHWEST OF FORT WORTH AT 9 PM.  OTHER
STORMS ARE LIKELY TO FORM IN A LINE ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS OF NORTH
TEXAS...THEN MOVE RAPIDLY EAST DURING THE EVENING. A FEW OF TONIGHT'S
STORMS WILL PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. THE RISK OF
TORNADOES IS VERY LOW AT THIS TIME...BECAUSE OF THE STABLIZIED LOWER
LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE.

EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND STORM SPOTTERS SHOULD KEEP IN TOUCH WITH
THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION. THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRANL
SECTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS MAY SEE ACTIVATION THROUGH ABOUT 200 AM...
WITH ACTIVATION IN EASTERN SECTIONS POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
911 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2001

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ...COUNTY LOCATION....

0840 PM    5 W COVINGTON             TX   WIND DAMAGE
05/04/01   HILL                           HOUSES DAMAGED BY WIND.
                                          REPORTED BY TV 11
                                          METEOROLOGIST.

0930 PM    2 S ALVARADO HARDGRAVE ARPT TX   TORNADO
05/04/01   JOHNSON                        HAM RADIO REPORT OF
                                          TORNADO AT HIGHWAY 204
                                          AND I-35 SOUTH OF
                                          ALVARADO. TWO MOBILE
                                          HOMES DESTROYED, ROOF
                                          BLOWN OFF ANOTHER.
                                          POWER LINES DOWN.

0324 PM    WALNUT SPRINGS            TX   0.75 INCH HAIL
05/05/01   BOSQUE                         DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED
                                          IN WALNUT SPRINGS BY
                                          SHERIFFS OFFICE.

0440 PM    2 NE MERIDIAN             TX   2.00 INCH HAIL
05/05/01   BOSQUE                         EGG SIZE HAIL REPORTED
                                          AT HIGHWAY 144
                                          NORTHEAST OF MERIDIAN
                                          BY COOP OBSERVER.

0435 PM    KOPPERL                   TX   TORNADO
05/05/01   BOSQUE                         SHERIFFS OFFICE
                                          REPORTS A MOBILE HOME
                                          WAS DEMOLISHED, TREES
                                          UPROOTED AND POWER
                                          LINES DOWN AROUND
                                          KOPPERL.

0605 PM    ROBINSON                  TX   0.75 INCH HAIL
05/05/01   MCLENNAN                       COUNTY EM REPORTED DIME
                                          SIZE HAIL IN ROBINSON.

0608 PM    LORENA                    TX   0.75 INCH HAIL
05/05/01   MCLENNAN                       COUNTY EM REPORTED DIME
                                          HAIL IN LORENA.

0555 PM    LEVI                      TX   1.50 INCH HAIL
05/05/01   MCLENNAN                       WACO CITY EM REPORTED
                                          1.50 INCH HAIL AT LEVI.

0515 PM    RICE                      TX   60 MPH TSTM GUST
05/05/01   NAVARRO                        PUBLIC REPORTED 60 MPH
                                          WIND GUST IN RICE.

0412 PM    GATESVILLE                TX   WIND DAMAGE
05/05/01   CORYELL                        SHERIFFS OFFICE
                                          REPORTED NUMEROUS
                                          TREES BLOWN DOWN IN AND
                                          AROUND GATESVILLE.

0418 PM    3 NE GATESVILLE           TX   WIND DAMAGE
05/05/01   CORYELL                        SHERIFEES OFFICE
                                          REPORTED A VET CLINIC
                                          HEAVILY DAMAGED BY
                                          WIND.

0418 PM    3 NE GATESVILLE           TX   1.00 INCH HAIL
05/05/01   CORYELL                        SHERIFFS OFFICE
                                          REPORTED ONE INCH HAIL
                                          DAMAGED A CAR.

0300 PM    SHIVE                     TX   WIND DAMAGE
05/05/01   HAMILTON                       UTILITY COMPANY
                                          REPORTED POWER LINES
                                          DOWN IN SHIVE.

0300 PM    HILLSBORO                 TX   WIND DAMAGE
05/05/01   HILL                           UTILITY COMPANY
                                          REPORTED POWER LINES
                                          DOWN IN HILLSBORO.

0600 PM    LEVI                      TX   WIND DAMAGE
05/05/01   MCLENNAN                       WEATHER SPOTTER
                                          REPORTED TREES BLOWN
                                          DOWN IN LEVI.

0610 PM    BARDWELL LAKE             TX   WIND DAMAGE
05/05/01   ELLIS                          UTILITY COMPANY
                                          REPORTED POWER POLE
                                          DOWN NEAR BARDWELL
                                          LAKE.

0750 PM    MARLIN                    TX   WIND DAMAGE
05/05/01   FALLS                          UTILITY COMPANY
                                          REPORTED POWER LINE AND
                                          NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN
                                          MARLIN.