Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2001

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 47, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

August 2, 2001Navajo County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 2, 2001, 8:52 PM MDT for Navajo County, Arizona. It was in force for 23 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
Aug 2, 2001, 8:52 PM MDT (02:52 UTC)
Expired
Aug 2, 2001, 9:15 PM MDT
In force
23 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Navajo County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 00:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 207 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2001-08-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 421 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2001-08-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -24 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
421 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-28 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1297 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-34 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

298 
WUUS55 KFGZ 030252
SVRFLG
AZC001-017-030315-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
752 PM MST THU AUG 2 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN APACHE COUNTY IN ARIZONA
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MCNARY
  SOUTHEASTERN NAVAJO COUNTY IN ARIZONA
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PINETOP-LAKESIDE...SHOW LOW

* UNTIL 815 PM MST

* AT 752 PM MST...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER     
  PINETOP PRODUCING WINDS OF 55 MPH...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY 
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST 
OFFICE.

LAT...LON 3404 11015 3400 10972 3427 10971 3433 11011

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 2, 3:50 PM MDT, 5 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 2, 3:50 PM MDT, 5 hours 2 minutes before
NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
250 PM MST THU AUG 02 2001

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS IS FORECAST TO
MOVE FARTHER WEST...TOWARD ARIZONA. THIS WILL CAUSE A CONTINUATION
OF THE MOIST SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW OVER THE AREA. MONSOON
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO FEED UP INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH NEXT
WEEK...WITH DAILY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING.

.DISCUSSION...DEEP MOISTURE AND ABUNDANT MORNING SUNSHINE HAS LED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MOGOLLON RIM AND
YAVAPAI COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON. WITH THE RATHER WEAK SOUTHEAST
FLOW...THE STORMS HAVE BEEN SLOW MOVERS AND HEAVY RAIN PRODUCERS.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR STORMS IN YAVAPAI COUNTY THIS EVENING FOR
FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL. NOTICEABLE LACK OF CONVECTION OVER THE
NORTHEAST PORTION OF THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS LIKELY DUE TO
A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION MOVING NORTH OVER THAT AREA
CURRENTLY. MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES SHOWED SOME WARMING WITH THIS
FEATURE (EVIDENT IN THE MORNING SOUNDINGS). WITH THIS FEATURE
FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF OUR CWA...WOULD EXPECT
MORE ACTIVITY FRIDAY OVER NE ARIZONA.

FOR FRIDAY THROUGH THE EXTENDED...LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDS
WESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. THIS WILL CONTINUE THE MOIST
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW OVER THE STATE. OCCASIONAL EASTERLY WAVES
CAUGHT UP IN THE FLOW ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE HIGH...THE
FIRST OF WHICH WILL PASS BY TO OUR SOUTH OVER THE WEEKEND...WILL
LIKELY HAVE LITTLE EFFECT THIS FAR NORTH OTHER THAN TO INCREASE
MOISTURE. NO CHANGES WILL BE MADE TO THE CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST
ASc SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT ON ANY PARTICULAR
DAY.
JOHNDROW

.FGZ...NONE.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 2, 8:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache23 min
Aug 3, 4:50 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningFGZCoconino

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2001Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2001

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.