Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2001

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 2, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

May 19, 2001Coconino County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 19, 2001, 5:55 PM MST for Coconino County, Arizona. It was in force for 35 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
May 19, 2001, 5:55 PM MST (00:55 UTC)
Expired
May 19, 2001, 6:30 PM MST
In force
35 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Coconino County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 59 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2001-05-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 72 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2001-05-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 13 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
72 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1264 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS55 KFGZ 200101
SVRFLG
AZC005-200130-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
555 PM MST SAT MAY 19 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN COCONINO COUNTY IN ARIZONA

* UNTIL 630 PM MST

* AT 555 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES NORTH OF TWIN ARROWS...OR ABOUT 26
  MILES EAST OF FLAGSTAFF...MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT OR PASS CLOSE TO...
  7 MILES EAST OF TWIN ARROWS AT 620 PM MST
  2 MILES WEST OF TWO GUNS...6 MILES WEST OF RIMMY JIMS...9 MILES
  NORTHWEST OF METEOR CRATER AT 630 PM MST

LARGE HAIL UP TO 3/4 INCH DIAMETER IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY 
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST 
OFFICE.R

LAT...LON 3493 11127 3500 11089 3545 11108 3540 11131

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 19, 2:30 PM MST, 3 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 19, 2:30 PM MST, 3 hours 25 minutes before
NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
230 PM MST SAT MAY 19 2001

SYNOPSIS...EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN
ARIZONA THIS EVENING BUT TAPERING OFF TOWARD MORNING. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS OVER THE MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE
MOUNTAINS. ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON
SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR THE NEW MEXICO BORDER WITH GENERALLY WARMER
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL STRENGTHEN FURTHER ON MONDAY WITH A DRY NORTHERLY FLOW. ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER ARE EXPECTED FOR THE WORK WEEK.

DISCUSSION...BROAD TROUGH OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST IS THE RESULT OF
THE MERGER OF A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH OVER THE GREAT BASIN AND
SUBTROPICAL TROUGH OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA. A MOIST AIR MASS WILL
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND WITH RESIDUAL INSTABILITY DUE TO DAYTIME
HEATING AND A SECONDARY PIECE OF JET STREAM ENERGY MOVING ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA TONIGHT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE (MOST NUMEROUS IN THE AREA OF THE MOGOLLON RIM AND THE NEW
MEXICO BORDER). FOR SUNDAY UPPER TROUGH BEGINS TO MOVE TO THE EAST
SOUTHEAST WITH A STRONG UPPER RIDGE AND A DRY NORTHERLY FLOW
DEVELOPING. MODELS FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN DRYING THINGS OUT ON SUNDAY.
AS A RESULT...EXPECT SOME WARMING AND DRYING ON SUNDAY WITH JUST
ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR GENERALLY PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS AND A FEW
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MOGOLLON RIM...WHITE MOUNTAINS AND
NEW MEXICO BORDER AREA. BY MONDAY IT WILL DRY EVEN FURTHER UNDER A
STRENGTHENING RIDGE AND NORTHERLY FLOW FOR SUNNY SKIES AND EVEN
WARMER DAYTIME CONDITIONS.

IN THE EXTENDED...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN UNITED
STATES FOR ABOVE NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY CLEAR
CONDITIONS.

MCCOLLUM

.FGZ...NONE.

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2001Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2001

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.