Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2001
Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS Flagstaff, AZ
NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Aug 20, 2001, 2:54 PM MST for Apache County, Arizona. It was in force for 66 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 20, 2001, 2:54 PM MST (21:54 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 20, 2001, 4:00 PM MST
- In force
- 66 min
- Issued by
- NWS Flagstaff, AZ
- Area
- Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction
County Apache County, AZ
The nearest sounding before it
Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 251 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 22 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -309 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2686 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 14 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 10 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -12 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS55 KFGZ 202200 FFWFLG AZC001-210000- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 254 PM MST MON AUG 20 2001 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN APACHE COUNTY IN ARIZONA * UNTIL 500 PM MST * AT 254 PM MST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER SOUTHEASTERN APACHE COUNTY ABOUT 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LYMAN LAKE STATE PARK. THE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING THE HEAVY RAIN WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. * DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES OVER 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN THE AREA SOUTHEAST OF LYMAN LAKE. FLASH FLOODING WILL AFFECT LOWER COYOTE CREEK FROM OLD HIGHWAY 60 TO LYMAN LAKE...AND THE SMALLER CREEKS THAT RUN FROM LOCKHART ROAD WESTWARD INTO LYMAN LAKE. THE TEP ACCESS ROAD WILL BE IMPACTED BY FLASH FLOODING. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...NORMALLY DRY WASHES AND ARROYOS.. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. LAT...LON 3428 10926 3426 10914 3439 10911 3439 10923
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 20, 2:30 PM MST, 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 20, 2:30 PM MST, 24 minutes before
NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 230 PM MST MON AUG 20 2001 .SYNOPSIS...SCATTERED EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE BY MIDNIGHT AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE STATE. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO AGAIN DEVELOP BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH ACTIVITY WILL NOT BE AS WIDESPREAD AS TODAY. DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE STATE THROUGH THE WEEK. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY...LASTING INTO THE COMING WEEKEND. .DISCUSSION...NO REAL CHANGES FROM THE MORNING THINKING. WEAKENING S/WV STILL MOVING EAST THROUGH NORTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA THIS AFTERNOON. DECENT CONVECTION HAS BEEN BLOOMING ALL DAY AHEAD OF THIS WAVE IN THE DEEPER MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS. SOME SUBSIDENCE AND COOLER BOUNDARY LAYER AIR BEHIND THIS WAVE CAUSED CONVECTION TO DIE OFF FROM FLG WESTWARD. HOWEVER...ENOUGH INSOLATION AND REMAINING MOISTURE HAS CAUSED CONVECTION TO FINALLY BEGIN DEVELOPING OFF TERRAIN IN THE WESTERN ZONES. THINK CONVECTION WILL LAST INTO THE EVENING TO THE EAST...DYING OFF BY MIDNIGHT. CONVECTION TO THE WEST WILL BE QUITE DIURNAL...LIKELY NOT MAKING IT MUCH PAST SUNSET. MOST OF THE STORMS ARE MOVING RAPIDLY AND ARE NOT PUTTING DOWN TREMENDOUS AMOUNTS OF RAIN...THE FFA FOR THE REGION WILL BE CANCELED WITH THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE BARRING ANY MAJOR CHANGES. DRIER WESTERLY FLOW WILL BEGIN TO WORK IN BEHIND THIS WAVE INTO TUESDAY. A LONGER-WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SAGGING WESTERLIES LATE IN THE DAY...WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF DYNAMICS DUE OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA. ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL REMAIN FOR SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACTIVITY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE MOISTER EASTERN ZONES. THE DRYING BEHIND THIS LAST WAVE ON TUESDAY WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...AND ASIDE FROM ISOLATED POPS WEDNESDAY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN...EXPECT NO ACTIVITY INTO THE EXTENDED. WITH LESS CLOUD COVER AND DRIER AIR...ALSO EXPECT A WARMING TREND IN THE EXTENDED...DESPITE THE LOWER HGHTS. PETERSON. .FGZ...NONE.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 5:35 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Yavapai | 25 min |
| Aug 19, 5:59 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Yavapai | 31 min |
| Aug 19, 6:29 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Yavapai | 31 min |
| Aug 19, 7:00 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Yavapai | 30 min |
| Aug 20, 10:34 AM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 26 min |
| Aug 20, 10:34 AM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Navajo | 26 min |
| Aug 20, 11:03 AM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 27 min |
| Aug 20, 11:19 AM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Navajo | 26 min |
| Aug 20, 11:37 AM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Coconino | 33 min |
| Aug 20, 1:09 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Navajo | 36 min |
| Aug 20, 2:07 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Apache | 23 min |
| Aug 20, 2:35 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Apache | 25 min |
| Aug 20, 4:40 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGZ | Apache | 35 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2001Every flash flood warning in 2001
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.