Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2001

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 37, NWS Detroit, MI

June 15, 2001Oakland County, Michigan

NWS Detroit, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 15, 2001, 5:47 PM EDT for Oakland County, Michigan. It was in force for 43 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 15, 2001, 5:47 PM EDT (21:47 UTC)
Expired
Jun 15, 2001, 6:30 PM EDT
In force
43 min
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI
Area
Whole counties

County Oakland County, MI

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 8 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 15, 6:10 PM EDTThunderstorm Wind 50 EKeego Harbor, MIA large tree and numerous large limbs were blown down.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 15, 4:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 8 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2001-06-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 784 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2001-06-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 64 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
784 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-33 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
997 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

485 
WUUS53 KDTX 152158 RRA
SVRDTX
MIC125-152230-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION/IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING...RETRANSMITTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
547 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  OAKLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN

* UNTIL 630 PM EDT

* AT 547 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER SOUTH LYON...OR 13 MILES NORTH OF ANN
  ARBOR...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HIGHLAND AT 600 PM EDT
  WHITE LAKE...ORCHARD LAKE AT 605 PM EDT
  WATERFORD AT 610 PM EDT
  PONTIAC...CLARKSTON AT 615 PM EDT

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. A WIND
GUST TO 60 MPH IS CAPABLE OF PUSHING OVER SHALLOW ROOTED TREES...AND
BREAKING OFF TREE LIMBS ABOUT THE SIZE OF YOUR WRIST. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

BGM DJF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 15, 3:15 PM EDT, 2 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 3:15 PM EDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before
SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
315 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2001

INGREDIENTS IN PLACE TO CONTINUE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INTO
THE EVENING. IMPRESSIVE COUPLED 850/250 MB DIVERGENCE WILL CROSS CWA
BETWEEN 21Z AND 05Z...COUPLED WITH EQUALLY IMPRESSIVE LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE WILL YIELD SIGNIFICANT UVV/S. THERMODYNAMIC FORCING ALSO
IMPRESSIVE WITH SHARP LOW LEVEL THETA-E RIDGE CROSSING CWA IN
CONCERT WITH DYNAMIC FORCING. PLENTY OF INSTABILITY AVAILABLE AS
WELL WITH MODIFIED 12Z DTX SOUNDING YIELDING CAPES IN 3 TO 4 KJ/KG
RANGE. WITH WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS RUNNING AROUND 12K FEET...MAIN
THREAT LOOKS TO BE WIND AS NEAR UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND SPEED THROUGH
THE COLUMN WITH MAX WINDS IN THE 35 TO 40 KNOT RANGE. WILL ALSO
MONITOR RAINFALL. PWS EQUAL OR SLIGHTLY EXCEED 2 INCHES COINCIDENT
WITH BEST LIFT. INDIVIDUAL STORMS HAVE BEEN MOVING AT NORTH AT 30
MPH. HOWEVER...LINE OF STORMS MOVING ONLY AT ABOUT 15 MPH. SO SOME
AREAS COULD RECEIVE A GOOD DOUSING.

DEEP MOISTURE AND LIFT WILL EXIT BETWEEN 10 PM AND 2 AM...WEST TO
EAST...AND WITH IT THREAT OF SHRA AND TSRA. STRONG DNVA SETS IN
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...LEADING TO CLEARING SKIES.

BROAD SURFACE TROUGH SWINGS ACROSS CWA DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY.
BUT...WITH PLENTY OF DRY AIR IN PLACE...AND SURFACE RIDGE BUILDING
IN WILL PRECLUDE ANYTHING MORE THAN SOME CIRRUS ACROSS THE NORTH AND
CU EVERYWHERE /LOOKS TO BE NO MORE THAN SCT/.

A POSSIBLE FLY IN THE OINTMENT FOR SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE SOUTHERN
CWA. BOTH ETA AND AVN INDICATE AREA OF MODEST 850 THETA-E ADVECTION
ACROSS SOUTHERN PART OF CWA. ETA IS FURTHER NORTH WITH THETA-E AXIS
AND ALSO INDICATES SOME VERY WEAK SURFACE TROUGHINESS TO BOOT /AS
DOES ETA-XX/. SOME INSTABILITY IN THE 500 J/KG NOTED BUT CINS
RUNNING IN THE 50 TO 100 J/KG RANGE SHOULD PRECLUDE ANYTHING MORE
THAN JUST AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR SUNDAY LEADING TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES.

ALL AND ALL...A VERY NICE WEEKEND AFTER THE PREVIOUS SEVERAL.

PREFER THE SLIGHTLY COOLER MAVS TO THE FWCS.

EXTENDED...

AS WAS THE CASE YESTERDAY...EXTENDED MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE A
NEAR ZONAL FLOW REGIME. AND IS TYPICAL OF THIS SCENARIO...TIMING OF
SYSTEMS BECOMES PROBLEMATIC. MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT MAIN
FORECAST THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE PRESENCE OF BAROCLINIC ZONE
LURKING ABOUT. AS WAS THE CASE YESTERDAY...CONTINUED PRESENCE OF THE
WARM/COLD FRONTS AND NEAR ZONAL FLOW WILL REQUIRE CONTINUED MENTION
OF SHRA/TSRA FOR MOST OF THE EXTENDED.

.DTX...NONE.

OKEEFE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 2:45 PM EDT, 3 hours 2 minutes before
MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-152100-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
245 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2001

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 433 CONTINUES UNTIL 5 PM FOR PART OF
SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...

DISPATCHERS...PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGERS IMMEDIATELY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 433 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PART OF
SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...INCLUDING BAY...MIDLAND...SAGINAW...AND
SHIAWASSEE COUNTIES.  THIS WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM...AND ALSO
INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES OF BAY CITY...MIDLAND...SAGINAW...AND
OWOSSO.  SPOTTER ACTIVATION HAS TAKEN PLACE.

SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE FROM A HARRISON TO
THREE RIVERS LINE...EAST TO A BAY CITY TO ADRIAN LINE...BY 430 PM.
LATER...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REACH A BAD AXE
TO MONROE LINE BY 630 PM.  SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...
WITH WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND ISOLATED HAIL OF THREE QUARTER INCH IN
DIAMETER.

DUE TO THE HIGH AMOUNT OF MOISTURE IN THE AIR...HEAVY RAINFALL IS
LIKELY WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM.  OVER AN INCH OF RAIN COULD OCCUR IN A
VERY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...WHICH COULD PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY FOR MOTORISTS.  DRIVERS SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS PLANNED DURING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR.

A COLD FRONT IN THE VICINITY OF LAKE MICHIGAN WILL PROGRESS EAST AND
PASS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN THIS EVENING.  THE GREATEST THREAT OF
SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE UNTIL 9 PM THIS EVENING...AFTER WHICH TIME
FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL RESULT IN ANY REMAINING STORMS BEING OF
LESSENING STRENGTH.  STAY TUNED TO YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR
THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

DJF
Special weather statement, Jun 15, 3:45 PM EDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before
MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-160100-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
345 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2001

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 435 HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF
SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN UNTIL 9 PM...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 433 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MIDLAND
COUNTY UNTIL 5 PM...

DISPATCHERS...PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGERS IMMEDIATELY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 435 HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN.  THIS WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

BAY...       TUSCOLA...       HURON...       SANILAC...
SAGINAW...   GENESEE...       LAPEER...      SHIAWASSEE...
ST CLAIR...  LIVINGSTON...    OAKLAND...     MACOMB...
WASHTENAW... WAYNE...         LENAWEE...     AND MONROE.

THIS INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES OF BAY CITY...SAGINAW...BAD
AXE...FLINT...PONTIAC...DETROIT...ANN ARBOR...AND MONROE.  THIS
WATCH EXTENDS THE PREVIOUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR BAY...
SAGINAW...AND SHIAWASSEE COUNTIES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 433 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MIDLAND COUNTY...
INCLUDING THE CITY OF MIDLAND...UNTIL 5 PM.  SPOTTER ACTIVATION HAS
BEEN REQUESTED.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN THIS EVENING.
SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE.

A COLD FRONT IN WESTERN LOWER MICHIGAN WILL PASS ACROSS SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN THIS EVENING.  A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL REACT WITH THIS
APPROACHING COLD FRONT TO GENERATE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
EVENING.  MANY OF THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40
MPH...AND A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTS TO 60 MPH.  ISOLATED HAIL
OF THREE QUARTER INCH DIAMETER IS ALSO POSSIBLE.  STORM MOVEMENT WILL
BE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH.

THE GREATEST THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE UNTIL 9 PM THIS
EVENING...AFTER WHICH TIME FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL RESULT IN ANY
REMAINING STORMS BEING OF LESSENING STRENGTH.

STAY TUNEDK TO YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION...FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

DJF
Special weather statement, Jun 15, 5:25 PM EDT, 22 minutes before
MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-160100-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
525 PM EDT FRI JUN 15 2001

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 435 CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF
SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN UNTIL 900 PM...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 433 HAS EXPIRED FOR MIDLAND COUNTY AND
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT....

DISPATCHERS...PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGERS IMMEDIATELY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTOM WATCH 433 FOR MIDLAND COUNTY HAS EXPIRED AND IS
NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

HOWEVER...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 435 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REST OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN UNTIL 900 PM EDT. THIS WATCH INCLUDES THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

BAY...       TUSCOLA...       HURON...       SANILAC...
SAGINAW...   GENESEE...       LAPEER...      SHIAWASSEE...
ST CLAIR...  LIVINGSTON...    OAKLAND...     MACOMB...
WASHTENAW... WAYNE...         LENAWEE...     AND MONROE.

THIS ALSO INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES OF BAY CITY...SAGINAW...BAD
AXE...FLINT...PONTIAC...DETROIT...ANN ARBOR...AND MONROE.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION HAS BEEN REQUESTED.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN THROUGH MOST
OF THIS EVENING... AND SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE.

A COLD FRONT IN WESTERN LOWER MICHIGAN WILL PASS ACROSS SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN THIS EVENING.  MANY OF THE STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT
WILL PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...AND A FEW STORMS COULD
PRODUCE GUSTS TO 60 MPH.  ISOLATED HAIL OF THREE QUARTER INCH
DIAMETER IS ALSO POSSIBLE.  STORM MOVEMENT IS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
AROUND 25 MPH.

THE GREATEST THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE UNTIL 9 PM THIS
EVENING...AFTER WHICH TIME FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL RESULT IN ANY
REMAINING STORMS BEING OF LESSENING STRENGTH.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION...FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 15, 4:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLivingston65 min
Jun 15, 5:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXWashtenaw48 min
Jun 15, 5:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXGenesee60 min
Jun 15, 5:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXTuscola41 min
Jun 15, 6:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXWayne37 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2001Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2001

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.