Severe Thunderstorm Warning 348, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED PRELIM POPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL
223 PM CDT THU JUL 05 2001

WIDESPREAD RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A
WEAK COOL FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.  HIGH DEWPOINT AIR AND MODERATE INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THIS
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL FUEL A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT.

RAIN CHANCES DROP OFF FRIDAY AS MORE STABLE AIR FILTERS IN BEHIND THE
COOL FRONT. SATURDAY AND SUNDAY SHOULD BE RAIN FREE AND HOT AS UPPER
RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE STATE.  THEN...ANOTHER WEAK FRONT IS EXPECTED
ON MONDAY SO WILL PUT CHANCE POPS IN FOR THAT AS WELL.

FURTHER DOWN THE ROAD INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...JUST TYPICAL
SUMMER WEATHER...HOT AND HUMID WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS:
HSV UB 067/090 065/094 072 77200
BHM BB 068/093 0467/095 072 77600
MGM BB 071/093 070/096 072 77620=

.BHM...NONE.

77

ALZ001>038-040>050-051930-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1025 AM CDT THU JUL 05 2001

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL ALABAMA.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW POSSIBLY SEVERE...WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE REGION FROM
THE NORTHWEST AND CLASHES WITH AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE.

LATE THIS MORNING...A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS WAS MOVING SOUTHWARD
THROUGH CENTRAL TENNESSEE.  PORTIONS OF THIS BAND WILL LIKELY
ENTER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY BY MIDDAY.  IN ADVANCE OF THE MAIN
LINE...A FEW STORMS WILL DEVELOP BETWEEN THE QUAD CITIES AND
HUNTSVILLE BEFORE NOON.  MOST OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY SHOULD
EXPERIENCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

COOL OUTFLOW FROM THESE STORMS WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD INTO THE NORTH
CENTRAL COUNTIES...HELPING TO TRIGGER SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NORTH AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.

THE AREA THAT HAS THE GREATEST POSSIBILITY FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
TO THE NORTH OF A CARROLTON TO BIRMINGHAM TO HEFLIN LINE THIS
AFTERNOON.  THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE STRONG
DAMAGING WINDS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL AND STORM SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD
MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER CONDITIONS OR STATEMENTS AND BE READY FOR
POSSIBLE ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

WET MICROBURST POTENTIAL FACTOR:
HUNTSVILLE IS 4
BIRMINGHAM IS 3
MONTGOMERY IS 2

1 BEING THE LOWEST...AND 5 THE HIGHEST THREAT.

FOR MORE INFORMATION AND3 A DESCRIPTION OF WHAT A WET MICROBURST IS,
SEE OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BMX/HWO.HTML.

ALZ001>018-020-052100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA
249 PM CDT THU JUL 05 2001

THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES HAVE BEEN REMOVED FROM
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 514...

  COLBERT...FRANKLIN...JACKSON...LAUDERDALE...LAWRENCE...
  LIMESTONE...MADISON...MARSHALL...MORGAN...

THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES REMAIN IN
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 514
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM...

  BLOUNT...CHEROKEE...CULLMAN...DEKALB...ETOWAH...
  FAYETTE...LAMAR...MARION...WALKER...WINSTON...

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
322 PM CDT THU JUL 05 2001

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1225 PM    ELKWOOD                   AL   WIND DAMAGE
07/05/01   MADISON                        TREES AND POWER LINES
                                          WERE BLOWN DOWN IN
                                          ELKWOOD.

1240 PM    ELKWOOD                   AL   WIND DAMAGE
07/05/01   MADISON                        TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN
                                          SOUTH OF THE CITY OF
                                          ELKWOOD.

0100 PM    COUNTY WIDE               AL   WIND DAMAGE
07/05/01   LIMESTONE                      SEVERAL TREES WERE BLOWN
                                          DOWN THROUGHOUT THE
                                          COUNTY.

0100 PM    COUNTY WIDE               AL   FLOODING
07/05/01   LIMESTONE                      SEVERAL ROADS WERE
                                          COVERED WITH WATER
                                          THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY.

0120 PM    FLORENCE                  AL   WIND DAMAGE
07/05/01   LAUDERDALE                     TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN IN
                                          THE WHITE LAKES AREA JUST
                                          NORTH OF FLORENCE.

0145 PM    COUNTY WdIDE               AL   WIND DAMAGE
07/05/01   LAWRENCE                       TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN
                                          THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE
                                          COUNTY.