Severe Thunderstorm Warning 7, NWS Wakefield, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
520 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2001

UPDATED CURRENT ZONE PACKAGE TO ADD NE NC CTYS TO SVR TSTM WATCH
276....OTHERWISE LEFT UNCHANGED.
.................................................................
INSTABILITY AXIS LOCATED SE-NW ACRS CWA WITH MAX CAPE RIC-CHO THIS
AFTN.  REAL FNT MAKING SLOW MOVEMENT ENE WITH CONVECTION INCREASING
OVR SW.  BASED ON WATCH WL MENTION SVR WRN ZNS TNGT.  NOT IMPRESSED
WITH SVR POTENTIAL OVR DELMARVA SO WL TONE WORDING DOWN THERE. FNT
SHLD BE TO COAST BY 12Z WITH UPR LOW CUTOFF OVR CNTRL U.S. UPR TROF
SHLD EJECT MINOR VORT LOBES THRU EARLY FRI WITH NEXT FNT EXPECTED
ATTM BY WEEKS END. AVN VERY AGRESSIVE WITH OMEGA THURS NIGHT/FRI AND
NOT SURE IF THIS IS REALITY ESPECIALLY WITH TEMPS NOT AS WARM.
WITH THAT MAKING SOME CHGS TO POPS/TEMPS THRU ALL PDS BUT NOTHING
MAJOR.

FCSTID = 71
SBY   58  76  54  70 /  60  30   0   0
OXB   58  71  54  68 /  60  30   0   0
ECG   65  80  60  80 /  60   0   0  30
ORF   64  76  60  80 /  50  20   0  30
PHF   60  79  55  75 /  60   0   0  30
AKQ   65  80  58  78 /  60   0   0  40
RIC   57  79  54  78 /  60   0   0  50
FVX   65  80  58  78 /  60   0   0  40

.AKQ...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.

SCHUMANN/HOULE

MDZ021>025-VAZ048-049-060>094-221730-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
155 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2001

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 274 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ALL SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA EXCEPT THE
TIDEWATER REGION AND LOWER EASTERN SHORE.

AT THIS TIME THE FAVORED LOCATION FOR FIRST THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
WILL BE ALONG AND WEST OF I95 FROM RICHMOND SOUTH TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA BORDER.  EVENTUALLY THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT
WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD INTO THE EVENING AND ADDITIONAL WATCHES MAY
BE ISSUED.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS WHICH CONTAIN DAMAGING WIND IN
EXCESS OF 55 MPH AND HAIL 3/4 INCHE OR GREATER IN DIAMETER IN AND
CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN MAY
ALSO ACCOMPANY ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR UPDATES ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF
THESE STORMS.

SCHUMANN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD,VA
303 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2001

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0k255 PM    MINERAL                   VA   1.00 INCH HAIL
05/22/01   LOUISA                         REPORTED BY MINERAL POST
                                          OFFICE.

MDZ021>025-VAZ048-049-060>094-230300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
430 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2001

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 276 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ALL NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING
CURRITUCK OUTER BANKS.

AT THIS TIME THE FAVORED LOCATION FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO ENTER
NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH INTO BERTIE COUNTY
AND NORTHEST ACROSS ALBEMARLE SOUND.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS WHICH CONTAIN DAMAGING WIND IN
EXCESS OF 55 MPH AND HAIL 3/4 INCHE OR GREATER IN DIAMETER IN AND
CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN MAY
ALSO ACCOMPANY ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR UPDATES ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF
THESE STORMS.

HOULE