Severe Thunderstorm Warning 54, NWS Wakefield, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
220 PM EDT MON AUG 27 2001

SCT TSTRMS RPDLY DVLPNG ALONG TROF AS I TYPE. CELL IN FLUVANNA
CNTY QUICKLY PULSED UP TO 73 VIL IN MINUTES. XPCT OTHR CELLS
TO DVLP AND MOVE E. WND GUSTS/HAIL/HVY RAIN XPCTD NXT SVRL HRS.
BNDRY PROGGED TO MOVE E TO THE CST BY 12Z TUE. THUS...WILL CONT
CHC POPS THIS EVE...KEEP HIGHEST POPS GOING MOST OF THE NITE SERN
CSTL AREAS.

WK RIDGE BUILDS IN TUE AHEAD OF YET ANTHR BNDRY TUE NITE/WED.
NOT MUCH MSTR FOR NXT BNDRY TO WORK WITH...SO I WILL KEEP PCPN
OUT OF FCST TUE THRU WED. WDLY SCT ACTIVITY PSBL BOTH AFTRNS FROM
VA BRDR ON S...BUT WILL ONLY INCLUDE 20 POP IN CCF.

SAID BNDRY STALLS...THEN WEAKENS ACROSS SERN US LATER THIS WK AS
HIGH PRS MOVES E ACROSS NRN TIER STATES. WILL KEEP THU & FRI DRY.
AS HIGH MOVS E...TRPLCL MSTR BEGINS TO MOVE BACK N AND OVRSPRDS
RGN AHEAD OF NXT CDFRNT SLATED FOR SUN TIME FRAME. DRYER/COOLER
WX MOVES IN FOR LABOR DAY.

CWF...NO FLAGS. SW WNDS AOB 15 KTS THRU TUE...BCMG NW-N BY WED.

FCSTID = 44
SBY   68  88  67  85 /  30  10  10  10
OXB   70  87  69  83 /  30  10  10  10
ECG   71  89  69  84 /  40  20  20  20
ORF   71  89  70  83 /  40  20  20  20
PHF   70  89  69  84 /  40  20  20  20
AKQ   69  90  68  85 /  40  20  20  20
RIC   68  90  66  85 /  30  10  10  10
FVX   67  90  65  86 /  40  20  20  20

.AKQ...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.

MDZ023>025-VAZ086-099-100-272330-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
646 PM EDT MON AUG 27 2001

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HEADED FOR THE EASTERN SHORE...

AT 645 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DETECTED SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH TO
ABOUT 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF HAMPTON VIRGINIA. THE STORMS WERE MOVING
EAST 25 MPH...AND ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SPREADING INTO PORTIONS OF
SOMERSET AND SOUTHERN WORCHESTER COUNTIES IN MARYLAND...AND THE
VIRGINIAS EASTERN SHORE THROUGH 730 PM. THE STORMS WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY FREQUENT LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAIN AVERAGING ABOUT
1 INCH...AND BRIEF GUSTY WINDS TO 30 TO 40 MPH.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD,VA
729 PM EDT MON AUG 27 2001

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0529 PM    SALUDA                    VA   WIND DAMAGE
08/27/01   MIDDLESEX                      TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES
                                          DOWNREPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT

0600 PM    GLOUCESTER                VA   WIND DAMAGE
08/27/01   GLOUCESTER                     TREES DOWN RTE 610, RTE
                                          601 AND RT 17 AT HOWARDS
                                          LANEREPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT

0630 PM    WILLIAMSBURG              VA   .75 INCH HAIL
08/27/01   WILLIAMSBURG                  REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT

0640 PM    YORKTOWN                  VA   WIND DAMAGE
08/27/01   YORK                           TREES DOWN MULTIPLE
                                          LOCATIONS ALONG COLONIAL
                                          PARKWAYREPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT

0640 PM    YORKTOWN                  VA   68 MPH TSTM WIND GUST
08/27/01   YORK                           MEASURED ON COLEMAN BRIDGE
                                          CONNECTING YORK COUNTY TO
                                          GLOUCESTER COUNTYREPORTED
                                          BY LAW ENFORCEMENT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD,VA
802 PM EDT MON AUG 27 2001

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0750 PM    FIFE                      VA   .75 INCH HAIL
08/27/01   GOOCHLAND                      REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT

VAZ070-071-080>083-280100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
858 PM EDT MON AUG 27 2001

...THUNDERSTORMS HEADED FOR THE I 95 CORRIDOR FROM RICHMOND TO
PETERSBURG...

AT 856 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DETECTED A DEVELOPING
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL VIRGINIA. THE LEADING
EDGE OF THE LINE OF STORMS EXTENDED FROM ABOUT 10 MILES NORTHWEST
OF RICHMOND TO JUST EAST OF BLACKSTONE. THE STORMS WERE MOVING EAST
25 MPH...AND ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE I 95 CORRIDOR FROM NEAR
RICHMOND TO AROUND AND JUST SOUTH OF PETERSBURG BETWEEN 915 AND 945
PM. WIND GUSTS MAY REACH 40 MPH IN STRONGER STORMS...AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. RAINFALL WILL
AVERAGE 3/4 TO 1 INCH. WATCH FOR PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND
LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS DUE TO THE
VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

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