Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2000

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 77, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

September 6, 2000Sumter County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 6, 2000, 3:52 PM EDT for Sumter County, Florida. It was in force for 23 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Sep 6, 2000, 3:52 PM EDT (19:52 UTC)
Expired
Sep 6, 2000, 4:15 PM EDT
In force
23 min
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Whole counties

County Sumter County, FL

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Sep 6, 4:13 PM EDTThunderstorm WindLake Panasoffkee, FLThe Sumter County Fire Rescue reported that 50 to 60 mph downburst winds downed a few trees and several large branches in the vicinity of Lake Panasoffkee in northern Sumter County.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 116 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2000-09-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1469 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2000-09-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 80 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1469 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-24 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
738 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
80 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
85 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS52 KTBW 061953
SVRTBW
FLC119-062015-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
352 PM EDT WED SEP 6 2000

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL SUMTER COUNTY.

* UNTIL 415 PM EDT.

* AT 352 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH LARGE HAIL...OVER BUSHNELL...MOVING NORTH
  AT 5 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT...
  LAKE PANASOFFKEE BY 415 PM EDT.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. DO NOT USE ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES OR TELEPHONES.

$$

LAT...LON 2852 8224 2852 8203 2876 8201 2876 8227

57
NNNN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 6, 2:28 PM EDT, 1 hour 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 6, 2:28 PM EDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
228 PM EDT WED SEP 6 2000

CURRENTLY...AMPLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ALONG WITH A WEAK UPPER
VORT MAX WORKING ITS WAY NORTH FROM THE SOUTHERN FA IS HELPING TO
FIRE OFF A GOOD DEAL OF SHOWERS AND STORMS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. AS
THE AFTERNOON CONTINUES EXPECT TO SEE ADDITIONAL STORMS FIRE OFF ON
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WITH ALL OF THE CONVECTION MOVING NORTH IN THE
DEEP SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...SO WILL
ADVERTISE HIGH SCATTERED EVENING POPS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ZONES.
OVER THE NORTH IS ANOTHER PROBLEM. SOUTHWARD SAGGING FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ALONG WITH DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT LIKELY TO KEEP CHANCES FOR POPS GOING
OVERNIGHT...SO WILL KEEP LEVY COUNTY SEPARATE FROM THE OTHER ZONES
AND ADVERTISE SCT POPS FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

FORECAST...WELL MODELS APPEAR TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH OVERALL
SYNOPTIC SCALE FEATURES...HOWEVER WILL LEAN A BIT CLOSER TO THE AVN
SOLUTION AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM AS IT INITIALIZED THE UPPER LOW
OVER THE CENTRAL GULF THE BEST. HOWEVER BEYOND 48H...AM A LITTLE
SUSPICIOUS WITH THE AVNS SOLUTION OF A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING ALONG
THE STALLED OUT FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE ATLANTIC OFF THE SC/GA
COASTS...WITH THE LOW MOVING SOUTHWEST TOWARD THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS BY
EARLY ON SATURDAY MORNING. IN THE INTERIM UPPER LOW OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF IS PROGD TO RETROGRADE SOUTHWEST TOWARDS MEXICO AS UPPER AND
SURFACE RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD IN OVER THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE
EAST.

MODEL SOUNDING DATA SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE IN MOISTURE LEVELS DURING THE
NEXT 24-48 HOURS WITH PWS REMAINING CLOSE TO 2...SO PLAN TO KEEP
POPS IN THE LIKELY CATEGORY ON THURSDAY...BUT AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS
IN INCREASING SUBSIDENCE AND SLIGHTLY DRIER MID LEVEL AIR WILL LIKELY
HELP TO DECREASE POP CHANCES ON FRIDAY AND ZONES WILL REFLECT THIS
TREND. AS FOR TEMPS FWC MAXS LOOK A BIT HIGH FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS
ESPECIALLY NORTHERN ZONES AND WILL LEAN TOWARD COOLER LOOKING FAN
NUMBERS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE EXPECTED CLOUDS AND PRECIP.

EXTENDED...(SAT-MON)...IF 72 HOUR SOLUTION OF THE 12Z AVN PANS OUT
LOWER PWS AND SUBSIDENCE ON WESTERN SIDE OF DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS WOULD SUGGEST LOWERING POPS TO BELOW CLIMO-LEVELS
ACROSS THE BOARD ON SATURDAY...THEN INCREASING POP CHANCES FOR SUNDAY
AND MONDAY IF 06/00UTC MRF RUN VERIFIES. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY AT
THIS TIME PLAN TO KEEP POPS IN THE LOW SCATTERED RANGE THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD.

MARINE...AS WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER THE GULF CONTINUES TO RETROGRADE
SOUTHWEST GRADIENT WILL RELAX A BIT NEXT DAY OR SO WITH FLOW SLOWLY
BACKING TO THE EAST BY FRIDAY AS RIDGE BUILDS IN. WIND AND SEA STATES
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA WITH NO HIGHLIGHTS NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS
TPA TB 076/089 076/090 075 5644
FMY TB 076/090 077/091 075 5644

.TBW...NONE.

MCMICHAEL

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 6, 11:18 AM EDT, 4 hours 34 minutes before
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-062330-

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1118 AM EDT WED SEP 6 2000

...WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON SOME WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
   RAINS...

DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE...AFTERNOON HEATING AND SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY
ALONG WITH A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION
WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS OVER WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AND SHOULD
COVER MOST OF THE AREA BETWEEN 3 AND 5 PM. THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY
QUIET DOWN A BIT TOWARDS EVENING OVER INTERIOR COUNTIES...BUT MAY
CONTINUE PAST SUNSET ALONG COASTAL COUNTIES...AND PERHAPS LINGER WELL
AFTER MIDNIGHT OVER THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

AT THE PRESENT TIME THE PRIMARY HAZARDS FROM THE STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL BE FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND TORRENTIAL RAINS. SOME
STORMS WILL PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR...AND STORM
TOTALS MAY EXCEED 4 INCHES IN SOME LOCATIONS...WHICH MAY CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. EVEN THOUGH STORMS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE...SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY
PRODUCE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...ALONG WITH SOME POSSIBLE
WATERSPOUTS OVER THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS.

ALL RESIDENTS AND MARINERS ARE URGED TO KEEP AN EYE TO THE SKY THIS
AFTERNOON...AND BE READY TO SEEK SAFETY BEFORE THREATENING WEATHER
ARRIVES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER STATEMENTS...AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS OR ADVISORIES DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.


MCMICHAEL

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2000Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2000

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.