Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2000

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 76, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

September 4, 2000Polk County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 4, 2000, 4:50 PM EDT for Polk County, Florida. It was in force for 40 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 4, 2000, 4:50 PM EDT (20:50 UTC)
Expired
Sep 4, 2000, 5:30 PM EDT
In force
40 min
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Whole counties

County Polk County, FL

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 74 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2000-09-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 211 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2000-09-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 51 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
211 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-80 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1204 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
51 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
38 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS52 KTBW 042051
SVRTBW
FLC105-042130-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
450 PM EDT MON SEP 4 2000

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN POLK COUNTY.

* UNTIL 530 PM EDT.

* AT 450 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...OVER      
  EAGLE LAKE JUST SOUTH OF WINTER HAVEN...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.
  OTHER STROMG THUNDERSTORMS ARE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING OVER POLK COUNTY 
  AND ARE ALSO CAPABLE OF DEVELOPING STRONG WINDS AND HAIL.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT...
R  CYPRESS GARDENS.
  AUBURNDALE.
  LAKE ALFRED.
  HAINES CITY.

$$

LAT...LON 2795 8191 2793 8164 2822 8157 2829 8187

15
NNNN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 4, 1:50 PM EDT, 3 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 4, 1:50 PM EDT, 3 hours before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
150 PM EDT MON SEP 4 2000

CURRENTLY: GULF COAST SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY MOVING SLOWLY INLAND...AND
CONVECTION IS STARTING TO BLOSSOM ALONG IT. BEST COVERAGE...SIMILAR
TO SUNDAY...IS OVER THE SOUTHWEST COUNTIES WHERE THE BOUNDARY HAS
REMAINED CLOSEST TO THE COAST. EVENTUALLY THAT WIDER COVERAGE
SHOULD SHIFT NORTHWARD.

FORECAST: LOOKS LIKE PATTERN WILL REMAIN LOCKED IN FOR ONE MORE
DAY...SO A NEAR REPEAT OF THIS WEEKENDS WEATHER IS IN STORE
TUESDAY. BEST CHANCES OF RAIN BEFORE NOON WILL BE ALONG THE COAST
NORTH OF TAMPA BAY...WHILE THE EMPHASIS WILL SHIFT INLAND DURING
THE AFTERNOON AS THE GULF COAST SEA BREEZE MOVES INLAND AND DAYTIME
HEATING HAS ITS WAY. WILL PROBABLY BE ANOTHER LOCAL CONVECTION
MINIMUM IN THE IMMEDIATE TAMPA BAY AREA.

THINGS BEGIN TO TRANSITION BY TUESDAY NIGHT. MODELS CONSISTENT IN
SHOWING THE INFLUENCE OF THE PERSISTENT SURFACE TROF WILL WEAKEN...
AND WINDS SHOULD BE OFFSHORE EVERYWHERE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS
SHOULD HELP LIMIT THE MORNING CONVECTION ALONG THE NATURE COAST.

BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...BOTH ETA AND AVN INSIST THE GULF SEA
BREEZE WILL BE HELD CLOSE TO THE COAST BY SYNOPTIC SOUTHEASTERLIES...
MEANING A SHIFT TOWARD LATER IN THE AFTERNOON FOR THE BEST CHANCE
OF CONVECTION. THEY ALSO BRING SOME INCREASING MOISTURE FROM THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN LATER IN THE DAY...COINCIDING WITH THE BEST
SURFACE CONVERGENCE. WILL HOLD ON TO GOOD CHANCE POPS FOR WEDNESDAY
WITH AN EMPHASIS ON AFTERNOON TIMING CENTRAL AND SOUTH. THERE WILL
STILL BE ENOUGH WEAKNESS IN THE PRESSURE PATTERN OVER THE NORTHERN
CWA TO ALLOW FOR AN EARLIER SEA BREEZE...AND HENCE AN EARLIER
THREAT OF THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. WILL AVOID TIMING ISSUES THERE.

MARINE: WILL SLOWLY BACK WINDS BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...WITH
ONSHORE SEA BREEZE CIRCULATION TAKING ON MORE IMPORTANCE NEAR THE
COAST IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. WILL BACK OFF A BIT ON
WINDS IN EXTENDED AND KEEP THEM OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AS THE NEW
MODELS ARE LESS AGGRESSIVE WITH HIGH PRESSURE TRYING TO BUILD IN
FROM THE NORTH LATE IN THE WEEK.

EXTENDED: WILL BACK OFF ON DRYING AND COOLING FOR END OF WEEK
CURRENTLY REFLECTED IN EFP. WILL GO MORE TOWARD SOUTHEAST FLOW
CLIMATOLOGY FOR LATE SUMMER.

PRELIM NUMBERS:
TPA 77/90/77/91 2425
FMY 76/91/75/92 2525

.TBW...NONE.

ALSHEIMER

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2000Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2000

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.