Severe Thunderstorm Warning 62, NWS Blacksburg, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
320 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2000

HAVE ISSUED LATE PM PACKAGE EARLY TO INCLUDE TORNADO WATCH.

WINDS HAVE TURNED MORE WESTERLY WEST OF BLUE RIDGE WITH OUTFLOW FROM
OLD LINE IN EASTERN KY/WERN WV...BUT MAY BACK TO SOUTHWEST AGAIN
AHEAD OF NEXT CLUSTER OF TSTMS DEVELOPING IN WRN WV. SOUTHWEST WINDS
CONTINUE EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...KEEPING MODERATE SPEED/DIRECTIONAL
SHEAR IN THOSE LOCATIONS. HAVE KEPT ALL BUT FAR WESTERN.NRN COUNTIES
IN THE WATCH.

OVERNIGHT EXPECT ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH FOR A WHILE...BUT SHOULD
REFIRE LATE AS MAIN UPPER LOW EJECTS EASTWARD WITH STRONG DYNAMICS.

SUNDAY EXPECT MAIN PREFRONTAL TSTMS MAY OCCUR PRE 20Z AS BEST
DYNAMICS SPREAD EASTWARD AHEAD OF FRONT. FROPA EXPECTED TO OCCUR 15Z
IN THE WEST TO 21Z IN THE EAST. BEHIND THE FRONT COLD POOL KEEPS
THINGS QUITE UNSTABLE AND ADDITIONAL TSTM EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WITH
POTENTIAL FOR HAIL. COULD HAVE TRIED TO CATEG HIER/LOWER POPS INTO
TWO PERIODS BUT WITH FIRST PERIOD CONCERNS WENT WITH GENERALS.

MONDAY LOOKS TO BE A COOL DAY WITH NORTH/NORTHEAST WINDS. THIS COULD
KEEP PIEDMONT NEARLY AS COOL AS THE WEST WITH MORE CLOUDS. MENTIONED
BREEZY IN THE EAST WITH PRESSURE GRADIENT. SURE WONT FEEL LIKE THE
TRADITIONAL BEGINNING OF SUMMER.

.RNK.
.VA...TORNADO WATCH TIL 9 PM ALL BUT THE FAR NORTH
.WV...NONE.
.NC...TORNADO WATCH TIL 9 PM FOR ALL.

NOGUEIRA

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
WVZ042>045-271800-

SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1230 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2000

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORMS OVER WEST VIRGINIA WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD
...AND REDEVELOP EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
INTO TONIGHT. A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE. THE
GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL EXIST ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
WARM FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTHWARD AND EXTEND ALONG A
LINE FROM NEAR BLUEFIELD TO ROANOKE TO LYNCHBURG.  THE GREATEST
THREAT FROM THE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...BUT
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHSIDE VIRGINIA AND
NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

IN ADDITION...THE ATMOSPHERE IS VERY MOIST AND SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN TORRENTIAL RAIN. PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADS...LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS COULD OCCUR IN THE HEAVIER
RAIN.

SKYWARN ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BY NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FUTURE FORECAST
UPDATES... OR IF ANY WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

NOGUEIRA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG, VA
235 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2000

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0229 PM    10 SW WILKESBORO          NC   .75 INCH HAIL
05/27/00   WILKES                         PILOT REPORT

PM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG, VA
330 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2000

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0245 PM    5 S WILKESBORO            NC   WIND DAMAGE
05/27/00   WILKES                         NUMEROUS TREES DOWN NEAR
                                          BRUSHY MOUNTAINS WITH
                                          SCATTERED POWER
                                          OUTAGES