Severe Thunderstorm Warning 174, NWS Charleston, WV

WVZ005>011-013>020-024>040-046-047-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-KYZ101>
103-105-VAZ003-004-240830-
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
330 PM EDT SAT SEP 23 2000

FRONT CURRENTLY CENTERED NEAR IL/IN BORDER WILL BE THE FOCUS OF OUR
WEATHER OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  PREFRONTAL RW/TSRA CLUSTER
JUST SKIMMING THE NW CORNER OF THE CWA...WITH SOME SCATTERED
ACTIVITY TO THE SW.

GOING ALONG WITH NGM SPEED OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AS IT SEEMS TO BE
A HAPPY MEDIUM BETWEEN THE ETA AND THE AVN.  THIS WOULD PUT THE
FRONT AROUND PKB BY 12Z...AND WILL EXIT THE CWA DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON.  NOT TOO IMPRESSED WITH FORCING AS BEST UVV APPEARS TO
HUG THE FRONT AND H500 SHORT WAVE SKIDS OFF TO THE NORTH.  WILL
STICK WITH CHANCE POPS AREAWIDE FOR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.  CLOUDS
WILL LINGER BEHIND FRONT BUT MEAGER FORCING EXITS BEHIND FRONT...
WILL TAPER POPS TO FOLLOW FRONT.

FRONT BECOMES E/W AND SLOWS SOUTH OF THE REGION.  PLANNING ON
KEEPING CHC POPS IN THE SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS DUE TO PROXIMITY TO
FRONT...BUT KEEPING REST OF AREA CLOUDY AND CAUTIOUSLY DRY.

MONDAY LOOKS INTERESTING AS ALL MODELS SHOW IMPRESSIVE WAVE
DEVELOPING ALONG FRONT BY MONDAY MORNING...BRINGING H850 LOW ACROSS
THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON ALONG WITH INVERTED TROFFING.  ONLY
CAVEAT WILL BE SOUTHEAST FLOW OFF THE MOUNTAINS AND THE POTENTIAL
FOR SOME DOWNSLOPING.  WILL STICK WITH LIKELY POPS AREAWIDE FOR
NOW...ALTHOUGH CATEGORICAL MAY ULTIMATELY BE APPROPRIATE.  AGAIN
LIMITED INSTABILITY BUT STRENGTH OF DYNAMIC SUPPORT NECESSITATES THE
CHANCE OF THUNDER.

GENERALLY UNDERCUTTING FWC TEMPERATURES DURING THE DAY AND STICKING
CLOS<E DURING THE NIGHT.

.RLX...
WV...NONE.
VA...NONE.
KY...NONE.
OH...NONE.

.END/CL

WVZ009-232100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
426 PM EDT SAT SEP 23 2000

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A BRIEF DOWNPOUR MOVING
EAST...THROUGH WOOD COUNTY.  THE STORM WAS SOUTH OF PARKERSBURG AT
4:25 PM.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM BETWEEN 4:30 AND 5
O'CLOCK ARE MINERALWELLS AND WALKER.

RAINS OF A HALF INCH TO AN INCH COULD FALL IN LESS THAN AN HOUR...CAUSING
PONDING OF WATER IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.  HOWEVER...PROLONG RAINS
ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.END / KTB

OHZ066-232200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
451 PM EDT SAT SEP 23 2000

AT 447 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A HEAVY
THUNDERSTORM...9 MILES WEST OF LANCASTER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20
MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE ENTERING PERRY COUNTY AROUND 5 PM.  SOME
LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM BETWEEN 5:15 AND 6 PM
INCLUDE...SOMERSET.

RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN WITH THIS STORM.  RAINS OF A HALF INCH TO
AN INCH COULD FALL IN LESS THAN AN HOUR...CAUSING PONDING OF WATER
IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.  HOWEVER...PROLONG RAINS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

PLEASE REPORT STRONG WINDS OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

.END / TRM

OHZ066-232300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
558 PM EDT SAT SEP 23 2000

AT 553 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS...4 MILES NORTHEAST OF LANCASTER...MOVING EAST AT 10
MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE SLOWLY ENTERING PERRY COUNTY FROM THE WEST
...AFFECTING MAINLY WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE COUNTY THROUGH 7 PM.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...SOMERSET...PERRY
STATE FOREST AND NEW LEXINGTON.

RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND STRONG...GUSTY
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS.  RAINFALL COULD AMOUNT TO
UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR.  THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS COULD
RESULT IN LOCALLY ONE AND A HALF INCHES THROUGH 8 OR 9 PM.  THIS
COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

THESE ARE STRONG STORMS...AND FURTHER STRENGTHENING MAY WARRANT A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR PERRY COUNTY.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

.END / TRM