Severe Thunderstorm Warning 58, NWS Pueblo, CO

SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO
224 PM MDT THU JUL 13 2000

...COVERAGE OF MONSOONAL PRECIPITATION THE CONCERN...

CURRENTLY...SEMI-PERMANENT UPPER HIGH IN PLACE OVER CO...ALTHOUGH
SATELLITE IMAGES REVEAL A FAIRLY DISTINCT CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTER OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO NEAR KTCC. THIS FEATURE APPEARS TO BE
ENHANCING DIURNAL CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SANGRES AND NEAR
KTAD. OLD SFC BOUNDARY FROM NEAR KTAD TO KLHX SO FAR HAS ONLY
PRODUCED A COUPLE SHORT LIVED SHOWERS NEAR KLHX...WHILE
ANOTHER SFC BOUNDARY...ALONG A KCDS/KGUY/KLAA LINE WAS PRODUCING
SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER THE TX PANHANDLE. FARTHER WEST...FAIRLY
TYPICAL CROP OF CONVECTION...THOUGH STORMS BEGINNING TO INTENSIFY
OVER NRN TELLER COUNTY AND ALONG THE UPPER ARK VALLEY. FEEL BEST
CHANCES FOR CONVECTION THIS EVENING ARE ACROSS THE SOUTH...FROM THE
SOUTHERN SANGRES EAST ALONG THE RATON MESA...IN CLOSEST PROXIMITY TO
THE ERN NEW MEX CIRC. SE CORNER MAY SEE A FEW STORMS AS NEW
CELLS ARE DEVELOPING IN THE OKLAHOMA PANH. LOWEST CHANCES PROBABLY
ACROSS THE LWR ARK VALLEY FROM KPUB TO KLAA AS STEERING CURRENTS ARE
TOO WEAK TO MOVE STORMS VERY FAR EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS. WILL
PROBABLY WAIT ON A LAST MINUTE REVIEW OF RADAR DATA TO DECIDE HOW
HIGH TO GO WITH POPS.

MAIN CHANGE TO ONGOING FCSTS FOR FRI/SAT WAS TO LOWER POPS SLIGHTLY
AS VORT CENTER PROGGED TO REMAIN SOUTH IN NEW MEXICO WITH FEW
TRIGGERING MECHANISMS FOR PRECIP EVIDENT...OTHER THAN THE TYPICAL
MOUNTAIN CONVECTION. WITH HIGH DRIFTING WWRD...MAY SEE JUST ENOUGH
FLOW TO PUSH ANY STORMS THAT DO FORM AWAY FROM THE MOUNTAINS...SO
WONT DRY ANYBODY OUT ENTIRELY YET. WILL ADD ANOTHER DEGF OR 2 TO
MAX TEMPS AS ATMOSPHERE MAY DRY SLIGHTLY.

EXTENDED...MORE OF THE SAME WITH FEW CHANGES...AS MRF WOBBLES RIDGE
BACK EASTWARD SUN/MON...OPENING THE DOOR FOR ANOTHER SURGE OF
MOISTURE...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SW AND CE MOUNTAINS.

.PUB...NONE.

PETERSEN

COZ062>066-068-132240-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
355 PM MDT THU JUL 13 2000

...FUNNEL CLOUDS REPORTED IN THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...

AT 344 PM...A PILOT REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD JUST WEST OF LA VETA
PASS. THE STORM WHICH WAS PRODUCING THIS FUNNEL CLOUD WAS 10 MILES
EAST OF ALAMOSA AND WAS WEAKENING RAPIDLY. OTHER STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING ALONG THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS
AND WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME STRONG...AND WILL ALSO HAVE
THE CAPABILITY TO PRODUCE FUNNEL CLOUDS AND HAIL.

RESIDENTS WHO RESIDE IN THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AND ALONG AND NEAR THE
WET MOUNTAINS...SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS AND WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY
SHOULD B!E ALERT FOR STRONG STORMS IN THE AREA.