Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2000

Flash Flood Warning 24, NWS Phoenix, AZ

October 28, 2000La Paz County, Arizona

NWS Phoenix, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Oct 28, 2000, 7:36 AM MST for La Paz County, Arizona. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
Oct 28, 2000, 7:36 AM MST (14:36 UTC)
Expired
Oct 28, 2000, 11:00 AM MST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Phoenix, AZ
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County La Paz County, AZ

The radar

The Yuma radar (KYUX), 180 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Yuma Intl Airpor, AZ (KYUM), launched 12:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Yuma Intl Airpor, AZ at 12:00Z on 2000-10-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Yuma Intl Airpor, AZ at 12:00Z on 2000-10-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -25 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-31 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1158 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-11 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS55 KPSR 281526 COR
FFWPHX
AZC012-281900-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
736 AM MST SAT OCT 28 2000

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PHOENIX HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN LA PAZ COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ARIZONA

* UNTIL 1200 NOON MST

* AT 730 AM MST...A FLASH FLOOD WAS IN PROGRESS IN AND AROUND THE
  TOWN OF WENDEN. WATER FROM THE CENTENNIAL WASH HAS OVERFLOWED 
  ITS BANKS DUE MAINLY TO A BROKEN FARMERS LEVEE FURTHER UPSTREAM
  LAST EVENING. ALTHOUGH NO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...IT
  WILL TAKE SEVERAL   HOURS FOR THE WATER TO RECEDE.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE THE TOWN OF SALOME.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS 
IMMINENT. MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS 
THE ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL 
ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.

RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE 
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS 
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY 
AUTOMOBILE. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK 
HIGHER GROUND.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
PHOENIX.

LAT...LON 3408 11335 3407 11377 3340 11377 3339 11334

...CORRECTED TO CHANGE WORDING FROM DAM TO FARMERS LEVEE...

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Phoenix, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Oct 28, 2:45 AM MST, 4 hours 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 28, 2:45 AM MST, 4 hours 51 minutes before
AZZ020>028-CAZ030>033-281745-

SOUTHWEST ARIZONA/SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
245 AM MST SAT OCT 28 2000

.SYNOPSIS...
A FEW LINGER MAINLY MORNING SHOWERS WILL OCCUR OVER PARTS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL ARIZONA AS THE LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVES OFF TO THE EAST.
OTHERWISE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWEST ARIZONA TODAY FOR PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WHICH
WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. ANOTHER UPPER LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL
SWING THROUGH CENTRAL OR NORTHERN ARIZONA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY
FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS. IMPROVING WEATHER WILL BE IN STORE FOR
TUESDAY AND ALSO WEDNESDAY...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND PLEASANT
TEMPERATURES.

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS SIMILIAR IN MOVEMENT OF SYSTEMS. CURRENT TROUGH HAS OPENED UP
AND SHOULD BE THROUGH MOST OF EASTERN CWA BY ABOUT SUNRISE. SHOWERS
HAVE DECREASED PAST FEW HOURS BUT A FEW SHOULD REMAIN OVER EASTERN
CWA BEFORE ENDING THIS MORNING. SOME WASHES, ETC. CONTINUE TO RUN
DUE TO YESTERDAYS HEAVY RAINS AND THESE BEING HANDLED AS WARRENTED
BUT OVERALL WATCHES NOW ALL EXPIRED. MODELS SHOW SHORT WAVE RIDGE
OVER REGION REST OF TODAY AND MOST OF SUNDAY FOR PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. AS FOR NEXT TROUGH...A 120 KT JET CORE AT 300 MB COMING DOWN
BACK SIDE OF NEXT TROUGH NOW APPROACHING PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST.
THIS WILL DIG TROUGH DOWN CA COAST TO BRING CHANCE OF SHOWERS INTO
JOSHUA TREE BY SUNDAY AND INCREASEING CLOUDS TO REST OF SE CA. BY
MONDAY UPPER LOW CLOSES OFF AND MOVES INTO NORTHERN AZ. 100 KT JET
CORE AT 300 MB MOVES OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AZ MONDAY ALONG WITH GOOD
VERTICAL MOTION ON ALL MODELS BUT WITH AVN SHOWING A STRONG BULLS
EYE OVER CENTRAL AZ. MODELS DO NOT SHOW MUCH DRYING DURING THE SHORT
BREAK OVER THE WEEKEND SO ALL THESE MECHANISMS ASSOICATED WITH NEXT
TROUGH SHOULD AGAIN ACT UPON THIS MOISTURE PLUS THE MOISTURE WITH
TROUGH ITSELF FOR CHANCE OF SHOWERS DEVELOPING OVER CWA SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY. ALTHOUGH MODELS INDICATE MAIN MOISTURE TO BE OVER
NORTHERN HALF OF AZ WITH MORE SCATTERED ACTIVITY OVER OUR CWA. IN
BETWEEN SYSTEMS ON TUESDAY FOR PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES...THEN NEW MRF
BRINGS DOWN ANOTHER UPPER LOW INTO UTAH WEDNESDAY FOR INCREASING
CLOUDS OVER CWA. DKS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Phoenix, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 27, 8:20 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSRMaricopa2 hr
Oct 27, 8:48 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSRMaricopa2 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2000Every flash flood warning in 2000

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.