Severe Thunderstorm Warning 198, NWS Paducah, KY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
130 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2000

LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOW LOW OVER NW MO WITH FRONT/TROUGH
EXTENDING THROUGH SPI AND EVV INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KY. OTHER WEAK
TROUGHS EXTENDED FROM THE LOW...ONE EXTENDS EAST THROUGH CENTRAL IL
AND INTO CENTRAL IN. THE OTHER EXTENDED FROM THE LOW SOUTHWARD NEAR
UNO AND INTO NE AR. KPAH RADAR INDICATED SOME NEW DEVELOPMENT NEAR
TN BORDER...LIKELY FROM OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. OTHERWISE...BULK OF PRECIP
MOVING OUT OF FA WITH LITTLE MORE THAN REMNANTS OF THE MORNING
TSRA'S REMAINING.

12Z MODEL RUNS DIFFER SIGNIFICANTLY WITH REGARD TO MODEL QPF. THE
NGM KEEPS RAIN OVER FA THROUGH 48 HOURS. FEEL THAT IS A BIT
OVERDONE. THE MESO ETA STOPS RA CHC AFTER 00Z TDY. CONSIDERING THAT
THE ATMSOPHERE WORKED OVER FROM THIS AM THUNDERSTORMS...REINITIATION
OF THE PRECIP WILL BE STRONGLY INHIBITED. IN ADDITION...THE MESO ETA
HAS BEEN PERFORMING ADMIRABLY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS AND WILL
CONTINUE TO FOLLOW ITS TREND. HOWEVER...WITH A BOUNDARY IN THE
VICINITY...HIGH DEW POINTS...AND A NW FLOW ALOFT CAN NOT RULE OUT
MENTION OF PRECIP. BUT WILL TAPER BACK POPS. MESO ETA BRINGS IN
ANOTHER CHANCE OF PRECIP SUNDAY PM ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY. WILL
INTRODUCE SMALL POPS FOR THAT TIME FRAME...MAINLY OVER SEMO.

EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER KEEPING TEMPS DOWN FROM FWC. FURTHERMORE FWC
HAS BEEN RUNNING CONSISTENTLY TOO WARM. IN ADDITION...TIME HEIGHT
CROSS SECTIONS FROM THE ETA...AVN...AND NGM HOLD IN SIGNIFICANT
MOISTURE IN THE MID LEVELS. THEREFORE WILL BE CONSERVATIVE ON HIGHS
AND STAY TO WARM SIDE OF LOWS.

.PAH...NONE.

KH

x

ILZ075-076-080>082-084>086-088>090-092>094-KYZ001>009-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-270300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
935 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2000

AT 935 PM...THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM CAPE GIRARDEAU MISSOURI...TO
PADUCAH KENTUCKY AND METROPOLIS ILLINOIS. THE STORMS CONTINUED TO
MOVE SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. SINCE 915 PM...THE STORMS HAVE WEAKENED.
THROUGH 1015 PM...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING WILL STILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS...MAINLY IN THE
METROPOLIS AREA AND THE NORTH SIDE OF PADUCAH. THE WEAKENING OF THE
STORMS HAS ENDED THE THREAT FOR EITHER SMALL HAIL...OR ISOLATED
GUSTY WINDS.

+

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1015 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2000

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....
U
1010 PM    7N METROPOLIS             IL   .75 INCH HAIL
08/26/00   MASSAC

RJP

KYZ007-008-010-011-013-270400-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1028 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2000

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM APPROACHING EDDYVILLE AREA OF WEST KENTUCKY...

AT 1020 PM...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED ABOUT 2 MILES NORTH
OF CALVERT CITY...OR ABOUT 25 MILES EAST OF PADUCAH. THE STORM WAS
MOVING EAST ABOUT 30 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL UP TO ONE HALF
INCH IN DIAMETER WERE OCCURRING IN THIS STORM.

THE STORM WILL REACH EDDYVILLE AROUND 1040 PM...ACCOMPANIED BY
SMALL HAIL AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. PERSONS TRAVELLING ALONG THE WEST
KENTUCKY PARKWAY NEAR INTERSTATE 24 SHOULD BE READY TO PULL OVER IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNSAFE.

YORK

KYZ011>013-017-022-270435-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1058 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2000

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING THE HOPKINSVILLE AREA OF WEST
KENTUCKY...

AT 1055 PM...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG
INTERSTATE 24 FROM EDDYVILLE TO HOPKINSVILLE. THE STRONGEST STORM...
WHICH WAS 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF HOPKINSVILLE...CONTAINED SMALL HAIL
AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. THE STORMS WERE MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AROUND 30
MPH.

THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT CADIZ AND HOPKINSVILLE
THROUGH 1130 PM. ELKTON WILL BE AFFECTED BY 1130 PM. SMALL HAIL
UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE
MAIN FEATURES OF TwHESE STORMS...ALONG WITH FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

YORK

INZ081-082-087-088-270715-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
114 AM CDT SUN AUG 27 2000

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHWEST INDIANA...

AT 115 AM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM
ALBION THROUGH OAKLAND CITY THEN DOWN TO NEAR SANTA CLAUS. THE
STRONGEST STORMS WERE OVER ILLINOIS...HOWEVER THE STORMS MOVING
ACROSS PIKE COUNTY WERE LIKELY PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50
MPH ALONG WITH SMALL HAIL. THE STORMS WERE MOVING SOUTHEAST AROUND
30 MPH.

EXPECT THESE STORMS TO AFFECT THE FORT BRANCH...LYNNVILLE AND
ROCKPORT AREAS BEFORE 200 AM.  THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE
DURING THE NEXT HOUR.  REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTOIRM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE TRI-STATE REGION THROUGH 600 AM CDT.

STAY TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

SDB

INZ087-088-KYZ018-019-270800-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
200 AM CDT SUN AUG 27 2000

AT 200 AM...DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED THAT THE LEADING EDGE OF A LINE
OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS WAS FROM 5 MILES WEST OF BOONVILLE TO NEAR
CHRISNEY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH. THE STORMS WILL BE MOVING
ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER INTO THE WESTERN KENTUCKY COUNTIES OF
HENDERSON AND DAVIESS. EXPECT WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH...SMALL HAIL
AND VERY HEAVY RAIN IN HENDERSON AND OWENSBORO BETWEEN 200 AND 300
AM. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BRING LIMBS DOWN AND CAUSE SPORADIC
POWER OUTAGES. THE FREQUENT LIGHTNING ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STORMS
MAY ALSO KNOCK OUT POWER IN A FEW LOCATIONS. STAY TUNED FOR LATER
STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.