Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2000

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 17, NWS Paducah, KY

January 3, 2000New Madrid County, Stoddard County, Missouri

NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 3, 2000, 1:03 PM CST for New Madrid County, Stoddard County, Missouri. It was in force for 42 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jan 3, 2000, 1:03 PM CST (19:03 UTC)
Expired: Jan 3, 2000, 1:45 PM CST
In force: 42 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Whole counties

Counties New Madrid County, MO, Stoddard County, MO

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jan 3, 1:15 PM CST	Thunderstorm Wind	Dexter, MO	A kennel was destroyed, and trees were down.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 211 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 486 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -28 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 703 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 371 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 513 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.4
Supercell composite: 7.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KPAH 031905
SVRPAH
MOC143-207-031945-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
103 PM CST MON JAN 3 2000

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NEW MADRID COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
  STODDARD COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI

* UNTIL 145 PM CST

* AT 103 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 19 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CLARKTON...OR ABOUT 5
  MILES NORTH OF RECTOR...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN PADUCAH.





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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 3, 3:00 AM CST, 10 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 3, 3:00 AM CST, 10 hours 3 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
300 AM CST MON JAN 3 2000

BUSY WEATHER SCENARIO WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 18 TO 24
HOURS...WITH MORE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED...FOLLOWED BY A POSSIBLE
CHANGEOVER TO FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW LATE TONIGHT.  LATEST 08Z SFC
CHART SHOWING QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT STRETCHING ACROSS SWIN/SIL/SEMO
TO A DEVELOPING SFC LOW OVER THE TX/OK BORDER...WITH ANOTHER LOW NR
THE OK PANHANDLE.  WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS FIRST UPPER IMPULSE
EXITING NE PART OF FA WITH NEXT POWERFUL DISTURBANCE HEADING NE
THROUGH OK.

SUNDAY/S 00Z ETA MODEL VERIFIED IN TARGETING ZONE OF HIGHEST QPF IN
NARROW SWATH OVER OHIO RIVER VALLEY.  COMPARING MONDAY/S 00Z
MODELS...NGM HAS COME IN LINE WITH ETA...WITH AVN SLIGHTLY FASTER
MODEL.  GIVEN GOOD AGREEMENT BETWEEN NGM AND ETA ON PLACEMENT OF SFC
AND UPPER LEVEL FEATURES AND QPF...WILL USE A BLEND OF BOTH MODELS IN
UPCOMING ZONE PACKAGE.

IN THE UPPER LEVELS...STRONG VORT MAX CURRENTLY OVER NRN TX BECOMES
A STRETCHED LOBE OF VORTICITY BY THE TIME IT LANDS OVER THE WRN PART
OF FA BY 12Z TUE.  AT THE SFC...BOTH NGM AND ETA THRUST DEEPENING
1000MB SFC LOW INTO SW MO BY 18Z MON...TO NEAR STL BY 00Z TUE...THEN
TO ERN MN BY 12Z TUE.  SFC COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE REGION
OVERNIGHT.  BELIEVE SWATH OF HEAVIEST PRECIP WILL TEND TO SHIFT TO
NORTH OF FA TODAY AS APPROACHING SFC LOW SWINGS STATIONARY FRONT TO
THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT.  IN THE WARM SECTOR...SQUALL LINE
CURRENTLY OVER OK WILL RACE EAST...AND BELIEVE BEST DYNAMICS FOR
STRONG TO SEVERE TSRA WILL BE JUST TO SOUTH OF FA.  HOWEVER...GIVEN
THE FORECAST COMBINATION OF -4 LI/S...30 K INDEX...TT NR 50...AND
350-400 SWEAT INDEX BY 00Z MON...WOULD NOT RULE OUT ISOLATED SEVERE
ACTIVITY THIS AFTN AND EVE AS H5 100 KT JET NOSES INTO FA.

BY 06Z TONIGHT...DRY SLOT ENCROACHES UPON AREA FROM SW...EFFECTIVELY
ENDING PRECIP FROM THE WEST.  THERE COULD EVEN BE BREAKS IN THE
CLOUDS OVER WRN PARTS OF THE FA LATE TONIGHT.  THEN AS WRAP-AROUND
MOISTURE INVADES THE AREA ON TUESDAY...COULD EVEN SEE A FEW FLURRIES
OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ON TUE AM...ESPECIALLY OVER NRN PARTS OF SIL
AND SWIN.

AS FAR AS MOS GUIDANCE IS CONCERNED...WILL LEAN MORE TOWARD NGM FWC
NO/S...AS FAN GUIDANCE FOR TODAY APPEARS WAY TOO COOL.  OTHERWISE...
WILL MODEL UPCOMING ZONE PACKAGE CLOSELY AFTER ONGOING ZONES.

.PAH...NONE

PRESLEY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 3, 7:15 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Carter, Ripley	45 min
Jan 3, 8:15 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Bollinger, Wayne	45 min
Jan 3, 8:26 AM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Bollinger	19 min
Jan 3, 8:34 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Cape Girardeau, Perry	26 min
Jan 3, 9:35 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Mississippi, Scott	30 min
Jan 3, 10:45 AM CST	Tornado Warning	PAH	Mississippi	30 min
Jan 3, 12:06 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Butler, Ripley, Stoddard	114 min
Jan 3, 12:56 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Cape Girardeau	34 min
Jan 3, 1:52 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Mississippi, New Madrid	38 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2000 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2000

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.