Flash Flood Warning 32, NWS Paducah, KY

Issued

Jun 17, 2000, 11:45 PM CDT (04:45 UTC)

Expired

Jun 18, 2000, 4:00 AM CDT

In force

4 hr

Issued by

NWS Paducah, KY

Area

Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

Counties Bollinger County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

000 
WGUS53 KPAH 180446
FFWPAH
MOC017-031-223-180900-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1145 PM CDT SAT JUN 17 2000

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  BOLLINGER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
  CAPE GIRARDEAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
  WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI

* UNTIL 400 AM CDT

* AT 1145 PM CDT...RADAR SHOWED A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS
  WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM NEAR JACKSON 
  WESTWARD TO NEAR VAN BUREN. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED RAINFALL RATES
  WERE ON THE ORDER OF 1/2 TO NEAR 1 INCH PER HOUR...ESPECIALLY FROM
  JUST NORTH OF GREENVILLE TO NEAR MARBLE HILL. 

* SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND BACK INTO SOUTH CENTRAL
  MISSOURI...SO THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THE EARLY MORNING
  HOURS. THIS RAIN WILL BE FALLING ON ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS...AND
  WILL LIKELY RE-AGGRAVATE PROBLEMS THAT DEVELOPED FROM THE HEAVY
  RAINS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS OR SO.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE WILLIAMSVILLE...GREENVILLE...MARBLE
  HILL...AND JACKSON.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT
QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY
IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS
IMMINENT. MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS
THE ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL
ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3757 8958 3729 8954 3694 9064 3745 9073

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jun 17, 2:00 PM CDT, 9 hours 45 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
200 PM CDT SAT JUN 17 2000

LATEST MSAS HOURLY SURFACE DATA REVEALS 70F PLUS TDS POOLING ACROSS
WKY...AHEAD OF COLD FRONT WHICH LAYS IN NE-SW FASHION ALONG LOWER OH
RIVER VALLEY. WEAK PERTURBATIONS NOTED RIDING ALONG BOUNDARY...MAY
BE HELPING INITIATE TROPICAL CONVECTION INCREASING OVER WKY.
MEANWHILE...PCPN WHICH PRODUCED HEAVY RAINS EARLY NOW BECOMING MORE
SCT ON COLD SIDE OF BOUNDARY.

12Z RUN OF ETA/AVN BEGINNING TO COME INTO AGREEMENT ON MOVEMENT OF
FRONT...WHICH IS MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE. INDICATIONS ARE THAT
CONVECTION WL CONTINUE TO BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN OVER WKY...WHERE
LATEST FFG VALUES REMAIN HIGH. AS FRONT IS DRAGGED SLOWLY/SLOWLY S AND
E...BIG QUESTION IS WHETHER OR NOT PCPN AREA WL DEVELOP AND OVERRUN
BOUNDARY LIKE IT DID LAST NIGHT. BOTH ETA/AVN AGREE THAT THIS WL
OCCUR AGAIN TONIGHT...AND THOUGH QPF VALUES ARE NOT AS HIGH...TRAINING
OVER SATURATED GROUNDS WHICH HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED UP TO 5 OR 6
INCHES IN SOME NRN PTNS SIL WL ALLOW FFG VALUES TO BE EASILY
EXCEEDED (MAINLY NRN 1/2 FA).

AVN/ETA LIKEWISE AGREE FRONT WL EVENTUALLY BE DRAGGED OFF TO THE
EAST W/LONG WAVE TROF PASSAGE. THIS SHOULD PRECLUDE SRN 1/2 FA FM
BEING INCLUDED IN FFA ATTM...AND SO WL CONTINUE TO HOLD AND MONITOR
DEVELOPMENTS THERE. WL KEEP FAIRLY HIGH POP TONIGHT/EARLY SUN...TIL
FRONT IS DRAGGED EAST. THEN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVERHEAD...WHICH
SHOULD YIELD EARLY WEEK REPRIEVE IN WET WX PATTERN.

WARMER FWC PERFORMED WELL ON WARM SECTOR HIGHS YDAY...BUT COOLER FAN
DID BETTER W/LAST NIGHTS LOWS IN COLD SECTOR. LTL DIFFERENCES NOTED
W/12Z FWC/FAN GUIDANCE AS MODELS BECOME MORE IN SYNC...AND WL
THEREFORE GENERALLY ACCEPT THEIR NOS.

.PAH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT...ROUGHLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE
FROM VAN BUREN MISSOURI TO OWENSBORO KENTUCKY.

HUMPHREY

Flash Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2000Every flash flood warning in 2000

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.