Severe Thunderstorm Warning 433, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
225 AM CDT SAT OCT 14 2000

BASED ON THE POSITION OF THE UPPER LOW OVER MT AND THE ASSOCIATED
JET FEATURES TO THE NORTH OF OK, THE UPPER PATTERN MAY PLAY A
SECONDARY ROLE TO THE APPROACHING SURFACE BOUNDARY IN OUR WEATHER
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IN THE SHORT TERM TODAY, DRIER LOW-LEVEL AIR
SHOULD MOVE FROM THE PANHANDLE INTO NORTHWEST OK LATER THIS MORNING
DIMINISHING RAIN CHANCES THERE. POPS HAVE ALSO BEEN LOWERED TO THE
CHANCE CATEGORY OR LESS OVER THE REST OF THE STATE TODAY AS ONLY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED, MAINLY SOUTHWEST TO NORTH
CENTRAL. TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY, THE FRONT/DRYLINE SHOULD MOVE
INTO THE NORTHWEST THIRD OR SO OF THE STATE WITH MODERATE, SOUTH,
MID-LEVEL FLOW OVER IT. IN ADDITION, THE UPPER WAVE IS MOVING A
MOIST MID-LEVEL LAYER OF AIR FROM NORTHERN MEXICO AND WESTERN TX
TOWARD OK. THESE FEATURES SHOULD SET THE STAGE FOR MORE WIDESPREAD
RAINS LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY - ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF
OF THE STATE. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON BOTH THE AVN AND ETA STALL THE
SURFACE BOUNDARY NEAR I-40. AREAS TO THE NORTH SHOULD SEE SOME
GENERAL RAINS WHILE SOUTHERN OK AND ADJACENT TX WILL HAVE SCATTERED
SHOWERS/STORMS. THIS SITUATION WILL LIKELY EXIST INTO MONDAY AS WELL.

FCSTID = 9
OKC   77  61  68  57 /  40  70  80  80
HBR   78  60  69  55 /  40  60  70  70
SPS   81  64  74  63 /  40  60  60  40
GAG   77  53  66  52 /  30  60  70  40
PNC   77  59  65  54 /  40  70 100 100
DUA   80  64  76  64 /  20  40  60  60

.OUN...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.