Severe Thunderstorm Warning 83, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
257 PM EDT SAT JUN 3 2000

COLD FRONT WAS FROM TRI TO OQT TO WEST OF CHA THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG
TO ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE REPORTED ALONG AND JUST AHEAD
OF THIS BOUNDARY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8
PM FOR THE FAR EASTERN MOST SECTIONS OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS. MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WET-DOWNBURST AND MARGINAL
SEVERE HAIL.

AREAS OF FOG ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT DUE TO THE RECENT RAINS.

FRONT WILL MOVE EAST AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY ALONG THE SPINE OF
THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS. MODELS SHOW AN INVERTED TROUGH REMAINING
OVER THE FAR EASTERN MOUNTAINS COUNTIES FOR SUNDAY WHICH WILL ACT
AS A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.  ALSO...CAPES OF 1500 TO
2000 AND LIFTED INDICES OF -3 TO -6 ARE ANTICIPATED...SO ANTICIPATE
ANOTHER ROUND OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING STORMS AGAIN TOMORROW.
BEST CHANCE WILL BE OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS.

FOR MONDAY...ANOTHER COLD FRONT SWEEPS INTO THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
THE FORECAST AREA ACCOMPANIED WITH A FAIRLY STRONG SHORT-WAVE THAT
DIVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. GREATEST
DYNAMICS WILL BE OVER THE NORTHERN SECTIONS...BUT FEEL A GOOD
CHANCE OF STORMS EXISTS AREA-WIDE...ESPECIALLY BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE AS WELL.

PLAN ON COMPROMISING ON GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES.  THE FOLLOWING NUMBERS
ARE FOR COORDINATION PURPOSES ONLY:

FCSTID = 15
CHA   66  87  66  87 /  40  30  30  50
TYS   63  85  63  83 /  30  30  30  50
TRI   60  83  61  79 /  30  40  30  50
OQT   63  85  63  83 /  30  30  40  50

.MRX...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.

DH

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-005-
006-008-032200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
915 AM EDT SAT JUN 3 2000

...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS EAST
TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA. THE MAIN THREATS FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY
OF STRONG DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD CAUSE
FLOODING OF LOCALIZED AREAS.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED ACROSS EAST TENNESSEE THIS MORNING AND
IS EXPECTED TO BE THE FOCAL POINT FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG
DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS...AS WELL AS HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD
CAUSE FLOODING OF LOCALIZED AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOU FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR
THE LATEST STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS ON THIS POTENTIALLY
SEVERE WEATHER SITUATION.

DMG/DH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
130 PM EDT SAT JUN 3 2000

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ...COUNTY LOCATION....

0126 PM    KARNS                     TN   1.00 INCH HAIL
06/03/00   KNOX                           REPORTED BY DISPATCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
250 PM EDT SAT JUN 3 2000

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ...COUNTY LOCATION....

0215 PM    LIMESTONE                 TN   WIND DAMAGE
06/03/00   WASHINGTON                     REPORTED BY HIGHWAY DEPT
                                          TREES DOWN