Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2000

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 58, NWS Melbourne, FL

July 29, 2000Lake County, Florida

NWS Melbourne, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 29, 2000, 6:54 PM EDT for Lake County, Florida. It was in force for 36 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 29, 2000, 6:54 PM EDT (22:54 UTC)
Expired
Jul 29, 2000, 7:30 PM EDT
In force
36 min
Issued by
NWS Melbourne, FL
Area
Whole counties

County Lake County, FL

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 29, 7:00 PM EDTThunderstorm Wind 50 ELeesburg, FLThunderstorm winds blew down two trees just south of Leesburg.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The nearest sounding before it

Cape Canaveral, FL (KXMR), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2000-07-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1918 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2000-07-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -26 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1918 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
750 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
2 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-26 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-34 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS52 KMLB 292255
SVRMLB
FLC069-292330-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
654 PM EDT SAT JUL 29 2000

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN LAKE COUNTY
  ...IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA

* UNTIL 730 PM EDT

* AT 650 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTH OF MASCOTTE...MOVING SOUTH AT 15
  MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  NEAR GROVELAND...MASCOTTE AT 700 PM EDT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MILES AN
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY (HEAVY RAIN. IF
THE STORM APPROACHES YOU...MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR.

$$

LAT...LON 2868 8176 2871 8196 2836 8195 2835 8178

55

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 29, 1:55 PM EDT, 4 hours 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 29, 1:55 PM EDT, 4 hours 59 minutes before
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
155 PM EDT SAT JUL 29 2000

THIS AFTERNOON...VIS SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW EARLY SEA BREEZE ALONG
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA COAST. I AM SOMEWHAT SURPRISED THAT IT HAS NOT
MOVE FARTHER INLAND NORTH OF THE CAPE.  BEST CONVECTION IS OCCURRING
IN THE DEEPER MOISTURE TO THE SOUTH.  GOOD INTERACTIONS WITH THE
SEA  AND LAKE BREEZES IN THE AREA. EXPECT CONVECTION TO INCREASE
WITH STRONGEST STORMS IN THE INTERIOR BY LATE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING.

TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WILL GIVE WAY TO THE
ATLANTIC RIDGE AXIS WITH MOSTLY SOUTHEAST SURFACE FLOW EXCEPT FOR
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER VOLUSIA COUNTIES. WILL FOLLOW MOS
GUIDANCE AND PUT UP 50 POPS ALL AREAS ON SUNDAY THOUGH ACTUAL
CHANCES BEHIND SEA BREEZE IN COASTAL INDIAN RIVER TO MARTIN COUNTY
WILL BE SOMEWHAT LESS.

MONDAY...THINGS GET A LITTLE MORE INTERESTING. MODELS ARE CONSISTENT
BRINGING A TROPICAL WAVE UNDER THE ATLANTIC RIDGE THROUGH THE
FLORIDA STRAIGHTS.  ETA IS MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH THE THE MOISTURE
SPREADING IT INTO THE FORECAST AREA BY MIDDAY.  AS THE WAVE
APPROACHES HOWEVER... NGM AND AVN SHOW A SHARP DRY SLOT OVER THE
AREA ... WITH MOISTURE MOVING IN LATER IN THE EVENING. THUS FAN AND
MOS POPS ARE A LITTLE LOWER THAN SUNDAY.  I WILL GO WITH THE DRIER
SOLUTION ESPECIALLY IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES WHERE DEEPENING
EASTERLY FLOW WILL PUSH PCPN INLAND.

MARINE...SURFACE RIDGE AXIS WILL BE PUSHED NORTH BY APPROACHING WAVE.
WINDS WILL GO FROM PREDOMINATELY SOUTH ON SUNDAY TO SOUTHEAST AROUND
15 KTS BY MONDAY.

EXTENDED...MRF MAY BE UP TO ITS USUAL SUMMERTIME TRICKS SHOWING A TS
SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS BY LATE THURSDAY.  WILL FORECAST USUAL
PRECIP CONDITIONS THAT GO WITH THE SOUTHEAST SURFACE FLOW AND DEEP
MOISTURE INDICATED BY MRF THROUGH THE PERIOD.

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS...
DAB TB 071/089 073/091 073 2524
MCO TB 073/092 074/092 073 4534
MLB TB 074/089 075/090 074 3534   64

.MLB...NONE.

PUBLIC/MARINE...DECKER
AVIATION/FIRE WX...KELLY

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2000Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2000

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.