Tornado Warning 27, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
319 PM CST SUN MAR 26 2000

A WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS ARKANSAS. WARMER AND
MORE HUMID AIR FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO IS THEREFORE BECOMING MORE
NOTICEABLE AND SPREADING FARTHER INTO THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF ARKANSAS
THIS AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD
ACROSS KANSAS TOWARDS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. A VORTICITY MAXIMA AND AN
AREA OF HIGHER MEAN RELATIVE HUMIDITY MOVING INTO NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS
HAVE SET OFF THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHWESTERN
ARKANSAS. MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES TOWARDS US. SOME STORMS COULD POSSIBLY
BECOME SEVERE TONIGHT. COOLER AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL MARK THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT.
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.LIT...NONE.

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-271200-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1240 PM CST SUN MAR 26 2000

...MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS MOST OF ARKANSAS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A STATIONARY FRONT LYING ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS WILL MOVE NORTH AS
A WARM FRONT THIS AFTERNOON...ALLOWING WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR
TO SPREAD ACROSS THE STATE FROM THE GULF COAST REGION. MEANWHILE...A
FAST MOVING COLD FRONT IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL APPROACH THE
NORTHWEST CORNER OF ARKANSAS BY LATE AFTERNOON...AND WILL PUSH
ACROSS THE STATE TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO AN UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT...WITH STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP.

AT THIS TIME...A LINE OF STORMS IS ANTICIPATED ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL ARRIVE IN NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE STATE
BY 6 PM OR SO...IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS BY MIDNIGHT...AND WILL EXIT
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS BY 6 AM ON MONDAY. SHOULD THE LINE OF STORMS
DEVELOP...IT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO AFFECT A LARGE AREA.

THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE...
DIME SIZE HAIL OR LARGER...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

BEFORE THE FRONT ARRIVES...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER
INCREASES...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON AS WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR BECOMES ESTABLISHED. A
FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...PARTICULARLY IN NORTHERN ARKANSAS.

AS THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER INCREASES...STORM
SPOTTERS...AMATEUR RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS WILL
LIKELY BE ACTIVATED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

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ARZ003>006-012>015-021>024-030>033-037>045-052>056-062-063-066-067-
270400-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
420 PM CST SUN MAR 26 2000

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL
ARKANSAS UNTIL 10 PM CST...

WARM TEMPERATURES AS WELL AS MOIST AIR MOVING NORTH FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO HAVE COMBINED TO PROVIDE AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER ARKANSAS.
IN ADDITION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE THIS
EVENING. THE FRONT WILL BE A FOCUS FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP...BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE AHEAD OF
THE FRONT AS WELL.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH GENERALLY COVERS AREAS OF ARKANSAS WEST
OF A LINE FROM MAMMOTH SPRING TO SEARCY TO PINE BLUFF AND NORTH OF A
LINE FROM ASHDOWN TO HOPE TO CAMDEN TO FORDYCE.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED IN THE WATCH AREA. THE
MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND STRONG DAMAGING>
WINDS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

INDIVIDUALS IN THE WATCH AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR SEVERE WEATHER
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING. BE READY TO SEEK SHELTER
IF A WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.

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