Severe Thunderstorm Warning 320, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
340 PM CDT WED JUL 19 2000

PROBLEM TODAY IS CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION AND HIGH TEMPERATURES
BEHIND COLD FRONT.

COLD FRONT LOCATED IN EXTREME NORTHERN ARKANSAS ON 18Z SURFACE MAP.
THIS FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE STATE TONIGHT THROUGH
TOMORROW NIGHT. ONCE THIS FRONT REACHES THE SOUTHERN BORDER...THE
ENTIRE STATE WILL BE VULNERABLE TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. SINCE IT
WILL RESIDE IN NORTHERN LOUISIANA THROUGH THE WEEKEND...SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY IN THE
NORTH. THIS WILL ALSO MEAN COOLER TEMPERATURES STATEWIDE. MODELS ARE
IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE TO ACCOMPANY THE NUMEROUS
H5 SHORT WAVES TO PASS THROUGH...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE COLD FRONT WILL NOT PASS THROUGH EXTREME SOUTHERN ARKANSAS UNTIL
LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO 95 TO
100 DEGREES ON THURSDAY IN THOSE AREAS. HEAT INDICES WILL REACH 105
TO 110 DEGREES IN THESE LOCATIONS. THE HEAT ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE
FORECAST AREA.

STAYED CLOSE TO GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES. MOS CONTINUES TO HAVE A GOOD
HANDLE ON THE SITUATION.

.LIT...HEAT ADVISORY THURSDAY EXTREME SOUTH PART OF FA
       ZONES 052-053-062>069

51