Severe Thunderstorm Warning 191, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
345 PM CDT FRI MAY 12 2000

MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT AGAIN TODAY. SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT MOVED
INTO THE EXTREME NORTHWEST PART OF THE STATE AT MID AFTERNOON. 1800Z
SOUNDING FROM LIT INDICATED STILL A PRETTY STRONG CAP...AND THIS
APPEARS TO BE KEEPING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IN ARKANSAS AT A
MINIMUM THIS AFTERNOON. STILL EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE STATE TONIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH.
BEST CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE IN THE NORTH WITH DECREASING CHANCES
AS YOU MAKE YOUR WAY SOUTH ACROSS THE STATE. SAME GOES FOR THE
CHANCES FOR SEVERE. BEST CHANCES FOR SEVERE TONIGHT LOOK LIKE THEY
WILL BE OVER THE NORTH WITH SMALL POSSIBILITIES FOR SEVERE OVER THE
CENTRAL SECTIONS. WHILE SOUTH MAY SEE A FEW STRONG STORMS TONIGHT...
CHANCES FOR SEVERE IN THOSE AREAS APPEAR TO BE SLIM. WILL KEEP SMALL
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSHOWERS SATURDAY MORNING OVER ABOUT THE
SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA...WITH CLOUDS DECREASING FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY. SUNDAY AND MONDAY STILL LOOK
TO BE MOSTLY SUNNY DAYS. SKIES SHOULD BECOME PARTLY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. NGM MOS TEMPERATURES AND POPS GENERALLY APPEAR TO BE
REASONABLE...SO ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS MADE. (22)

.LIT...NONE.

ARZ003>006-012>015-021>024-030>032-037>043-052>054-130300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
505 PM CDT FRI MAY 12 2000

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS UNTIL
10 PM CDT...

A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS IS SETTING OFF A LINE OF
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING. THIS LINE WILL MOVE
EASTWARD ACROSS ARKANSAS THROUGH 10 PM.

LARGE HAIL...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS CAN
BE EXPECTED FROM SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING.

WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT AND THE RAIN WILL END.

KEEP ALERT TO WEATHER IN YOUR AREA AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER
SHO{ULD SEVERE WEATHER WARNINGS BE ISSUED. KEEP TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...TV AND RADIO STATIONS FOR THE LATEST WEATHER UPDATES.

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