Flash Flood Warning 12, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
400 AM CDT SAT MAY 27 2000

AIR WILL REMAIN VERY UNSTABLE ACROSS AREA UNTIL COLD FRONT AND SHORT
WAVE MOVE ACROSS DURING TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS
NORTHERN ARKANSAS PROBABLY WILL DECREASE THIS MORNING BUT MOISTURE PATTERN
AND MORE SHORT WAVES INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS WILL COVER MUCH OF THE
AREA TODAY. BOUNDARY FROM THE OVERNIGHT STORMS LOOKS LIKE IT WILL
SET UP ACROSS CENTRAL SECTIONS AND MAY BE FOCUS FOR NEW DEVELOPMENT
AROUND MIDDAY. MAIN THRUST OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH FRONT WILL REACH
NORTHWESTERN SECTIONS AROUND 00Z AND SHOULD PUSH ACROSS AREA MOSTLY
BY 06Z AND SHOULD BE OUT OF AREA BY 12Z SUNDAY. WILL HAVE 50-60 PERCENT
POPS ACROSS AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT AND NO MENTION OF POPS FOR
SUNDAY. DRIER AIR WILL BE IN PLACE SUNDAY. SINCE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
TRAINED ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS OVERNIGHT AND MORE LIKELY TODAY, WILL
ISSUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THAT AREA THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT. WILL BE
ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT AS THERE ARE LIKELY MANY CAMPERS IN AREA FOR
HOLIDAY WEEKEND. TEMPS PROBABLY WILL NOT GO UP MUCH TODAY DUE TO
CLOUDS AND WILL GO CLOSE TO MOS ON MINS FOR TONIGHT AS COOLER AIR COMES
IN. MOS MAXES FOR SUNDAY LOOK TOO HIGH, BUT NEW AIR MASS WILL NOT BE
THAT MUCH COOLER SO WILL NOT GO TOO FAR BELOW.

.LIT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT NORTH
          ZONES 3>7-12>16-21>24

ARZ007-016-025-033-034-271700-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1047 AM CDT SAT MAY 27 2000

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR MUCH OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS UNTIL
4 PM...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
FOR A LARGE PORTION OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS UNTIL 4 PM. THE WATCH
AREA IS GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE THAT EXTENDS FROM DES ARC TO
MAMMOTH SPRING.

A LINE OF VERY STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS
NORTHEAST ARKANSAS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THESE STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEAST ARKANSAS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER CLOSELY
TODAY. BE PREPARED TO SEEK SHELTER IF THREATENING WEATHER
APPROACHES...OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAYED TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO OR TV...OR CABLE TV FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

ARZ005>007-013>016-022>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-280230-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
130 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2000

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS MOST OF ARKANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

VERY UNSTABLE AIR AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE OVER ARKANSAS WILL BE
IMPACTED BY AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT. DAMAGING WINDS...DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAINS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGER
STORMS OVER MOST SECTIONS OF THE STATE EXCEPT THE EXTREME NORTHWEST
CORNER.

FORECASTS SHOW THE FRONT WILL BE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE
STATE AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND ABOUT TO EXIT THE STATE BY SUNRISE
SUNDAY.

CLEARING WILL TAKE PLACE BEHIND THE FRONT FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST. DRIER AIR WILL BRING AN END TO THE HIGH HUMIDITY LEVELS
WHICH HAVE EXISTED ACROSS THE STATE THE PAST FEW DAYS.

IT IS TIME FOR EVERYONE TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES OR
SEVERE WEATHER PREPAREDNESS PLANS.

STORM SPOTTERS...AMATEUR RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS
MAY EXPECT ACTIVATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

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