Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2000

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 191, NWS Baltimore/Washington

July 14, 2000Shenandoah County, Virginia

NWS Baltimore/Washington issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 14, 2000, 8:51 PM EDT for Shenandoah County, Virginia. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2000, 8:51 PM EDT (00:51 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2000, 9:30 PM EDT
In force
39 min
Issued by
NWS Baltimore/Washington
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Shenandoah County, VA

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2000-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1500 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2000-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 70 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1500 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-10 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1168 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
2.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

The text of this product is not in the archive. The NWS text archive before 2002 is incomplete.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 14, 2:50 PM EDT, 6 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 14, 2:50 PM EDT, 6 hours 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON
250 PM EDT FRI JUL 14 2000

A FEW SHRAS/TSRAS HV BKN OUT OVR THE FA THIS AFTN. STG TSTMS HV FORMED
OVR OH UNDER STG PVA AHD OF GRT LAKES S/W AND UNDER LF QUAD OF UPR JET.
PVA FM GRT LAKES S/W PROGGED TO REACH FA AFT 00Z TNGT.

ALL MDLS SHOW RH INCRG OVR FA AFT 00Z AS PVA MOVS INTO FA. GIVEN
STRENGTH OF VORT MX...INCRG RH AND LIKELIHOOD OF BDRYS LEFTOVR FM PM
CONVECTION...WL GO ABV GUIDANCE AND SAY LIKELY POPS TNGT. LOSS OF
DAYTIME HTG AND LACK OF JET DYNAMICS WL DIMINISH SVR THREAT OVERNGT.

MDLS ALL PROG UPR LOW TO CUTOFF OVR NE U.S. DUR FCST PD BUT DIFFER ON
TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF LOW. VORT MX WL STILL BE OVER THE FA FOR MUCH
OF SAT AND ENUF RH WL BE IN PLACE TO SUPPORT LIKELIHOOD OF SHRAS.
EXPECT ALOT OF CLDS DURING THE DAY WHICH WL INHIBIT POTENTIAL FOR
THUNDER SO WL NOT MENTION TSRAS.

FWC TEMPS IN L/M 80S APPR TOO HI SO WL LEAN TWD FAN NUMBERS IN 70S.

RH PROGGED TO RETREAT N SAT NGT AS UPR LOW RMNS IN VCNTY. WL KEEP A CHC
FOR EVE SHRAS IN NE HALF OF FA OTRW WL HV MC. SOME MOISTURE WL RMN OVR
THE AREA ON SUN. ETA/NGM SHOW WELL DEFINED S/W MOVG ARND UPR LOW INTO
FTHE FA. WL HV PC/PS AND A 30 POP FOR SHRAS.

FWC TEMPS LUK GUD RMNDR OF FCST PDS.

.LWX...
DC...NONE.
MD...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

ARTHUR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Baltimore/Washington issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 8:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXPrince William, City of Manassas, City of Manassas Park66 min
Jul 14, 8:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXClarke, Frederick, Warren39 min
Jul 14, 10:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXLoudoun24 min
Jul 14, 10:19 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWXFairfax, City of Fairfax, City of Falls Church56 min
Jul 15, 12:35 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWXKing George, Stafford115 min
Jul 14, 8:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXWashington45 min
Jul 14, 10:44 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWXBaltimore, City of Baltimore2 hr
Jul 14, 11:23 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Prince George's67 min
Jul 15, 12:11 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCharles64 min
Jul 15, 2:25 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWXSaint Mary's65 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Virginia, 2000Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2000

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.