Alert archive / Virginia / Flash Flood Warnings in 2000

Flash Flood Warning 29, NWS Baltimore/Washington

September 2, 2000Augusta County, Nelson County, Virginia

NWS Baltimore/Washington issued this flash flood warning at Sep 2, 2000, 4:45 AM EDT for Augusta County, Nelson County, Virginia. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
Sep 2, 2000, 4:45 AM EDT (08:45 UTC)
Expired
Sep 2, 2000, 6:45 AM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS Baltimore/Washington
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

Counties Augusta County, VA, Nelson County, VA

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 00:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 86 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 00:00Z on 2000-09-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 426 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 00:00Z on 2000-09-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 30 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
426 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-21 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
813 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
30 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
54 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS51 KLWX 020845
FFWLWX
VAC015-125-021045-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE-WASHINGTON
445 AM EDT SAT SEP 2 2000

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS EXTENDED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NELSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA
  AUGUSTA COUNTY IN WESTERN VIRGINIA

* UNTIL 645 AM EDT

* AT 440 AM EDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN
NELSON COUNTY... AND IN THE FAR SOUTHERN PORTION OF AUGUSTA COUNTY.
THESE STORMS ARE MOVING VERY SLOWLY TO THE NORTH.

AUTOMATED RAIN GAGES OVER WESTERN NELSON COUNTY HAVE REPORTED OVER
3.0 INCHES OF RAINFALL SINCE 100 AM EDT. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES
THAT SOME AREAS OF WESTERN NELSON COUNTY AND EXTREME SOUTHERN
AUGUSTA COUNTY MAY HAVE RECEIVED OVER 5.00 INCHES OF RAIN DURING
THAT SAME TIME SPAN.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS, ABANDON IT IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK
HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3777 7916 3778 7893 3803 7899 3810 7912

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Sep 2, 3:10 AM EDT, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 2, 3:10 AM EDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON
310 AM EDT SAT SEP 2 2000

KLWX RADAR SHOWING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
SOUTHWESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA. SLOW MOVING PRECIP RESULTING IN
RADAR ESTIMATES OF UP TO 4 INCHES OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS IN ISOLATED
LOCATIONS. BLOW OFF CLOUDINESS MOVING ALONG AND WEST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE.. WHILE AREAS TO THE EAST OF THE RIDGE ARE PARTLY CLOUDY AT
TIME.

MODELS ALL IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH OVERALL PATTERN FOR NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. WV LOOP SHOWING 2 DISTINCT CIRCULATIONS... ONE OVER
KENTUCKY AND ANOTHER OVER GEORGIA. THIS UPPER PATTERN TO REMAIN IN
PLACE THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY... WITH AVN INDICATING THAT SYSTEM
MAY FINALLY OPEN UP AND MOVE TO THE EAST OF US BY LATE MONDAY.
INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH TO REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CWA TODAY AND TOMORROW... WITH UPPER TROUGH MOVING OVER THE AREA AS
WELL. VERY WARM ADN HUMID AIR MASS IN PLACE... WITH SURFACE DEW
POINTS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S AND PW VALUES BETWEEN 1.75 AND
2.00 INCHES.

EXPECT PRECIP TO REMAIN RATHER SCATTERED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.. WITH HIGHER POPS IN THE WEST DUE TO PROXIMITY TO THE SURFACE
TROUGH AND ADDED LIFT FROM WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS
INDICATE VERY WEAK STEERING FLOW... DROPPING AS LOW AS 6 OR 7 KNOTS
FOR TOMORROW. STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP SHOULD BE SLOW MOVERS AND COULD
PRODUCE SOME HEAVY AT TIMES. HAVE COORD WITH RNK.. AND DO NOT PLAN
TO ISSUE FFA AT TIME DUE TO SCATTERED NATURE OF PRECIP. SOUTHWESTERN
SECTIONS OF CWA WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED HOWEVER..

AVN BRINGS SURFACE FRONT THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON ON
MON... AND DEVELOPS A LITTLE WAVE ALONG THE FRONT AS IT PASSES
THROUGH.  WILL CONTINUE WITH HIGH CHANCE POPS FOR MON IN THE
EXTENDED... BUT POPS MAY END UP BEING RAISE IF THIS SCENARIO PLAYS
OUT.

TEMPS GETTING A RATHER WARM START.. WITH FORECAST READINGS AT
SUNRISE IN THE LOWER 70S. MOST PLACES WERE IN THE MID OR UPPER 80S
ON FRI... AND AM NOT EXPECTING TO MUCH DIFFERENCE TODAY. MAY CUT A
DEGREE OR 2 OFF FROM YESTERDAY'S READINGS ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE DUE
TO DEBRIS CLOUDINESS. COMPROMISE OF FWC/FAN TEMPS USED IN LATER
PERIODS.

.LWX...
DC...NONE.
MD...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

MARGRAF!

The office that day

Everything else NWS Baltimore/Washington issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 2, 2:45 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWXAugusta, Nelson2 hr
Sep 2, 6:30 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWXAlbemarle, Nelson, City of Charlottesville2 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2000Every flash flood warning in 2000

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.