Severe Thunderstorm Warning 229, NWS Louisville, KY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
340 PM EDT THU OCT 5 2000

MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES THIS AFTERNOON INVOLVE THE RAIN CHANCES
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AND TEMPERATURES WITH THE COLD AIR COMING IN FOR
THE WEEKEND.

MODELS BRING FRONT SOUTH ACROSS KENTUCKY OVERNIGHT WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SHOWERS WILL
ALSO LINGER BEHIND THE FRONT. SPOTTY SHOWERS TRYING TO DEVELOP AT
MID AFTERNOON TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF KY AND THESE SHOULD
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TONIGHT
AS COLD FRONT APPROACHES. WITH UNSTABLE AIR (DEW POINTS RISING INTO
THE 60S) AND STRONG DYNAMICS A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE NEAR AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

THE PUSH OF COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN ON SATURDAY WITH HIGHS SOME 20
DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY. EVEN COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE FOR SUNDAY
WITH HIGHS NOT EXPECTED TO CLIMB MUCH ABOVE 40 DEGREES. MODELS
INDICATE MONDAY NIGHT TEMPS WILL DROP TO RECORD OR NEAR RECORD LOWS
WITH LOWS IN THE 20S. WITH HIGH PRESURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA...
WINDS WILL DIMINISH ALLOWING SKIES TO CLEAR AND TEMPERATURES TO
PLUMMET.

.SDF...NONE.

SCHOLZ

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>048-053-054-061>063-070-
071-060000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
129 PM EDT THU OCT 5 2000

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND
CENTRAL KENTUCKY NORTH OF A LINE FROM BOWLING GREEN TO LEXINGTON
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A STRONG COLD FRONT FROM SOUTHERN ILLINOIS TO CENTRAL OHIO WILL
SWEEP ACROSS KENTUCKY OVERNIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON IN AREAS WHERE
SUNSHINE HAS BEEN PLENTIFUL. ALTHOUGH WIDE SPREAD SEVERE STORMS ARE
NOT EXPECTED A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

THIS IS A PRELIMINARY OUTLOOK. STAY TUNED TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE MEDIA FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. SKYWARN
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-060400-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
250 PM EDT THU OCT 5 2000

...SUMMER TO WINTER...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND
CENTRAL KENTUCKY TONIGHT ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SUMMERLIKE TEMPERATURES THAT HAVE OCCURRED THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS
WILL END ABRUPTLY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FRIDAY NEAR 65.
THE INFLUX OF COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND WITH
SATURDAYS HIGHS ONLY IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY DIP BELOW THE
FREEZING MARK...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...NORTH
CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND THE BLUEGRASS REGION OF LEXINGTON. IN
ADDITION...RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP SUNDAY AS
TEMPERATURES BARELY TOP 40.

THE COLDEST AIR SO FAR THIS FALL WILL LIKELY BE SUNDAY
NIGHT AS SKIES CLEAR. LOW TEMPERATURES FORECAST IN THE MID TO UPPER
20S WOULD SMASH RECORD LOWS AND A HARD FREEZE WOULD END THE GROWING
SEASON.

PLANTS YOU WANT TO KEEP ALIVE SHOULD BE BROUGHT IN OR COVERED BOTH
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT. A TEMPERATURE SWING OF UP TO 60
DEGREES WILL BE QUITE A SHOCK FOR BOTH PEOPLE AND VEGETATION.

KIRKPATRICK