Severe Thunderstorm Warning 79, NWS New Orleans, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
210 PM CDT FRI MAY 5 2000

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH SLOW NE MOVEMENT OF UPPER LEVEL LOW.
MAIN AREA OF DISAGREEMENT IS WITH THE LOWER HEIGHTS OVER THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. WILL MAINTAIN SOME THREAT OF MAINLY AFTERNOON
CONVECTION SAT AND SUN BASED ON THE FOLLOWING. LOW LEVEL SLY WINDS
WILL CONTINUE...MAX TEMPS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S BOTH DAYS.
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENT CENTERED OVER SE LOUISIANA BY 18Z SAT AND AGAIN
BY LATE SUN...BUT WEAKER. MEAN RH AND PCPL WATER ABOUT THE SAME AS
TODAY. 5H TEMPS NEAR MINUS 12 DEGS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
EXPECT THE TROUGH AND DRIER AIR TO BE EAST OF THE CWA MON. MAY HAVE
TO BEGIN THE FORECAST PERIOD FOR...REMAINDER OF THIS
AFTERNOON...WHERE CONVECTION IS ONGOING. ALSO EXPECT PATCHY FOG TO
DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT NORTH OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AS WINDS DECREASE
TO NEAR 3 KT OR LESS.

AS TROUGH MOVES EAST OF THE CWA EXPECT WE CAN DELETE THE CHANCE OF
PCPN MON AND TUE THEN MENTION AFTN SHOWERS AND TSTMS ON WED. EXPECT
TEMPS TO BE AT OR A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH WED.

MCB 65/87/65/87 1312    BTR 68/86/68/88 1312
MSY 70/86/69/8y8 1312    BIX 73/84/72/84 1212

.NEW...NONE.
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.
17

LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-060000-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1015 AM CDT FRI MAY 5 2000

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO SEVERE WEATHER
IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER...SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY
WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

FOR MORE INFO PLEASE VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.SRH.INOAA.GOV/LIX (ALL
LOWER CASE).