Severe Thunderstorm Warning 275, NWS New Orleans, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS/BATON ROUGE LA
300 PM CST NOV 08 2000

SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED UNTIL EARLY THU MORNING.
WARM MOIST UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL PERSIST AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING
SQUALL LINE AND COLD FRONT. EXPECT THE FRONT TO BEGIN ACCELERATING
EAST ONCE THE SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO NORTHEAST LOUISIANA. EXPECT THE
SQUALL LINE TO MOVE INTO THE WESTERN PART OF THE CWA...BATON ROUGH
AREA... BETWEEN 9 PM AND MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE EAST INTO THE NEW
ORLEANS AREA AROUND 3 AM THU MORNING. BY THIS TIME THE FRONT AND
SQUALL LINE SHOULD BE MOVING ON RAPIDLY EASTWARD WITH WITH SKIES
CLEARING RAPIDLY FROM THE WEST DURING THE DAY THU. TEMPS MAY BE A
LITTLE OFF DUE TO THE TIMING OF THE FRONT. WENT PRIMARILY WITH THE
MOS GUIDANCE FROM THE MRF FOR TEMPS AND POPS IN THE EXTENDED PORTION
OF THE FORECAST. EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO TWO INCHES. SEE NO
THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT FLOODING SINCE THE FRONT WILL BE MOVING EAST
AT 15 TO 20 KT AND INDIVIDUAL TSTMS WILL BE MOVING NORTHEAST IN
EXCESS OF 25 KT. NO STRONG THICKNESS DIFFLUENCE OR TRAINING EXPECTED
TO PERSIST FOR ANY EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME.

MCB BU 054/060 040/065 042 17+10
BTR BU 055/062 040/067 044 17+10
MSY BU 058/063 049/066 049 17920
GPT CU 065/067 046/066 043 17940

.NEW...SCA PASCAGOULA TO ATCHAFALAYA RIVER INCLUDING LAKES
PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS.
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.

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