Severe Thunderstorm Warning 41, NWS Jackson, KY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1035 AM EDT FRI MAY 19 2000

14Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL OHIO WITH A
COLD FRONT DRAPED SOUTHWEST TO CENTRAL ARKANSAS. TO THE EAST THE
BOUNDARY MEANDERS NORTH TO PITTSBURGH AND THEN BACK SOUTH TO ANOTHER
WEAK LOW ON THE DELAWARE/MARYLAND PENINSULA. ON RADAR ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE RUNNING WELL AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS
NORTHERN KENTUCKY AND INTO WEST VIRGINIA. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO
INCREASE AS THE DAY WEARS ON AND THE FRONT PRESSES CLOSER. PLENTIFUL
CLOUDS ARE KEEPING TEMPERATURES IN CHECK AT THE MOMENT...BUT A LULL
FOLLOWING THIS FIRST WAVE MAY ALLOW MORE SUNSHINE ACROSS THE SOUTH
NECESSITATING HIGHER HIGHS...WHILE ALSO INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THE LATEST FORECAST MODEL
SOUNDINGS YIELD CAPES TO NEAR 3000 J/KG AND LIS TO MINUS 5 BY
EVENING. WILL UPDATE THE FORECAST CLOSER TO NOON TO FINE TUNE THE
AFTERNOON PRECIPITATION AND RAISE TEMPERATURES IF NECESSARY.

.JKL...NONE.

GREIF

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-192200-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
722 AM EDT FRI MAY 19 2000

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY...

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER INDICATES THAT THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH EASTERN KENTUCKY FROM THE
NORTHWEST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AHEAD
OF THE FRONT TODAY.  AS TEMPERATURES WARM DURING THE DAY...OUR
ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME MORE UNSTABLE AND SOME OF THE STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING HAIL OR DAMAGING WIND.

STAY ON TOP OF THE WEATHER SITUATION BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO OR THE LOCAL MEDIA FOR UPDATES. EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND SPOTTERS
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT AND BE PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION.

HAL